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2021-03-26 21:20:39 有 90 人按讚

［味將軍集團］屯門市中心已成太興王國。呢兩間（點煲 /亞參雞飯）都係！之前係「劉一手」。呢個舖位間間都做唔長，睇下太興接手又點。話時話，大姆指（安雅會談）執笠，不如頂埋佢？

加埋現有嘅太興，敏華，茶木，錦麗，靠得住，東京築地。不如包起個場好似「大食代」（Horrible 坡國中文）咁啦。

但我最撚不滿係（冇錯，一路鬧一路食，香港精神）：做乜食煲仔飯冇得叫隔離舖海南雞？屌，咪自己集團！同一個廚房添分分鐘（未望），自己transfer pricing 搞掂佢啦！台灣啲舖都係咁。

同理，有一期返上環，我去信和「美心MX」食早餐，鍾意個排包。有次話賣晒，阿姐就叫我等一等- 然後有條友去同一個場嘅「美心西餅」拎咗一袋排包。inter segment sales 呀！

一如所有香港餐廳一樣（不獨太興，雖然佢地特別明顯），都係新開張食（好彩唔使排）- 因為之後必定走樣。

又，都係在傷言傷。重災區？你老味太與賺1.2億呀，升五成！災what？

但當然多得「保就業」，立咗1.6億！即係，冇「保就業」就蝕錢（ceteris paribus 唔炒人的話）

唔止，仲要大增派息！派8000萬！左翼（膠？）論述就係拎1.7億保就業去派息益股東同陳生。

當然右翼（市場撚）又話你知，邊係「嗰舊錢」，「嗰舊錢」拎咗去出糧嘛。咁慳咗出糧錢咪有錢賺，公司拎保就業係咪一定要蝕錢唔可以有純利？好似唔係。咁公司賺錢點解唔派得息？

（最左，美國Warren Sanders嗰啲其實話要派息！唔畀回購，因為派息政府會抽稅）

我睇法嘛，拗呢啲根本浪費時間。都係narrative. Fit into story。

係喎，Patreon就寫呢啲。記得訂

PS：煲仔飯正常，可跟進。屯門市中心咋大佬，美食地獄呀，what can you expect。

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ceteris paribus 在君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚 Facebook 的最讚貼文

By 君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚

2021-01-08 00:45:04 有 155 人按讚

［零利息供樓，鎖定廿年，冇花冇假］供樓辛苦？不如諗下丹麥。唔使畀利息！唔係一期喎，鎖20年零息喎！不過早買早享受遲買平幾舊，再玩落去可能個個月送兩罐三花午餐肉畀你！

三個問題畀你估：點解會咁？銀行點賺錢？丹麥樓價點？

原文：The land of cheap mortgages just went to zero （https://bityl.co/579v）

告個急先：本人已被炒，未訂嘅記得訂Patreon，積小成多呀。訂咗嘅可以考慮加碼（https://bityl.co/4Y0h）。一星期至少出返六篇文，今年頭五日我已出咗十篇。

1. 開頭有啲悶，咁自問程度高嘅，可以跳去睇「三個問題可以跟進」

2. 講過N次，唔係刻意玩嘢或做李天命，但好多時拗一大輪根本大家都唔係講緊同一樣嘢，所以搞清楚咩係「負利率」。講少少悶嘢

3. 負利率有好多種，你計及通脹嘅，就「實質負利率」，反而多人明。咪利息都唔夠冚通脹，成日都見到啦。但如果唔計通脹，只係籮綿奴嘅「名義負利率」呢？咁都有好多種，已經講過利率有好多種，好多人講咩「香港銀行加息」，都唔知講乜息。

4. 最簡單，咪央行利率。你見咩美國聯儲局出嚟講加息減息嗰種。經過舊年3月兩次極速減息，劈咗1厘半，而家聯邦基金利率係0-0.25%。冇負數呀下。咁而銀行之間嘅拆息，自然再會高少少，因為你走數機會高過聯儲局。銀行收你嘅息，又再高少少咁咯，因為你走數機會又高過其他行家。咁同樣係散客，無入息證明（如批）當然高啲，有入息借P Loan就平啲啲，供樓就再平好多—因為你有抵抽嘛，你唔還錢銀行咪收你層樓（＊）。P Loan你唔還錢，點追？有啲人爛命一條破產算嘛。

5. 明啦嘛？咁丹麥，就真係試過負利率供樓！銀行有回贈，冇花冇假！

6. 而居然有人以為係唔使還錢，每個月銀行有錢畀你，會咁以為嘅，明顯係未供過樓。阿叔，你除咗還息，仲要還本。負利率供樓，你唔使還息仲有補貼送幾罐三花午餐肉畀你。但，仲要還本架嘛老細

7. 咁原本呢樣嘢，都冇乜特別。本專頁都好似寫過，人地2015年已經有呢回事！（https://bityl.co/577f）。

8. 咁今次有乜新花臣？因為，供過樓都知，十居其九都係浮息（你下下封頂嘅日子唔計），你今期負數未必下期都係。但而家丹麥供樓，定息按揭都做零息！仲可以鎖20年！

9. 即係，你借100萬買樓，分20年還，每年畀5萬蚊蚊咋。神唔神奇？

10. 咁三個問題可以跟進：第一，點解會咁。第二，銀行點賺錢？開善堂？第三，咁丹麥樓價點？

11. 先答第一個問題，亦因為答呢個問題我要之前打段悶嘅嘢。點解會咁？丹麥央行官方利率，老早已經係負數（BTW，丹麥唔係用歐元的，在歐盟都可以唔用歐元，正如唔在歐盟都可以用歐元！）。點解丹麥克郎央行利率負數？因為同歐元掛勾（聯系匯率呀，但同香港玩法唔同，有機會再講）（＊＊）。但丹麥央行利率負數per se唔會令到供樓負利率。正如聯儲局零息但美國人供樓唔係利息嘛？事實丹麥央行利率2012年己經係負數，但負按揭息呢啲嘢，2014/5先出現—因為央行再減息。負負下就負到銀行按揭息都負埋，而家仲零到可以定息鎖20年

12. 第二個問題就有趣啲。負利率在零售層面都實行到：留意香港早幾年見到銀行話最低結餘收錢，都唔係真係負利率，丹麥就真係存錢扣你錢。而掉轉，你要銀行畀負利率你，仲難。你在銀行嘅立場，傻的嗎？做乜蝕畀你？以前簽落嘅浮息，減減下減到負就冇計，但新做嘅點會仲畀負利率你？大不了唔做你生意之嘛。點會做蝕錢生意？

13. 梗係昆你落搭然後做cross selling，昆你買保險買基金買雷曼債買ELN 買 I kill you later. Good guess，至少你知道銀行梗有方法搵返你錢，不過唔啱。

14. 答案就係：丹麥嘅銀行按揭，根本唔係賺息差。即係點？實務上，佢地係左手交右手，中間舔一浸（拿，做銀行嘅精髓）（＊＊＊）。即係乜？即係，佢發債幾多成本，就用幾多塞返去啲客度。中間再收啲手續費。亦即係，丹麥銀行發嘅債，係零或負利率嘅。好出奇？咪話央行都負利率，咁丹麥銀行固然發債成本高過央行，但央行大負，佢小負咯。早排LV發債買嘢，都係負利率。

15. 第三，丹麥樓價？仲使講？零利息供樓你唔賣樓？丹麥樓價，當然都係勁升。而家供不應求添。當然升勢冇香港咁誇張（點比？），但哥本哈根樓價同好多歐洲城市相比，就升得好多了。

16. 最好屌多一句，啲人講咩「供求」，近乎係廢話。唔係冇用，但好多都係亂鳩咁用。因為啲人連咩叫Ceteris paribus都唔知，亦冇理Demand 同 quantity demand（係喎埃汾冇讀易乾都識，學校夠冇教洞房但我都識啦）。

17. 即係點？哦隻股票做乜升。「因為多人買咯」。戇鳩，單單都係一買一賣架啦。好聽啲，我地叫Buyers more aggrieves than sellers —但走去講乜柒「股票都係講供求」，就係套套邏輯（有本講condom嘅書用呢個名，我好鍾意）。我甚至聽到有人話「股票都係供求，越印得多咪越跌」—屌你啦，Tesla印過N次股票，人地做埋首富啦。或者有人話「越多公司上市供應越多股票咪唔值錢」，又係屌你啦，當年幾十間公司，而家千鳩幾間，恒指跌返去100點未？

18. 你用到樓市，雖然冇咁兒嬉，但差不多。咩「需求」？你10厘息減到零息自然大把需求，你減到負20厘息我買間樓嚟放模型都仲得。正如「剛性需求」一樣，以前結婚要買樓，慢慢地你啲文化因素咪會變。唔係話「供求」冇用，但真係唔係「供應300間需求100間所以會跌」咁咯。你睇下丹麥啲需求邊撚度爆出嚟？好多人移民過去？夠平息自然有需求。但而家樓價升咗咪自然壓返低需求。

（文中有啲位將零利率同負數撈埋一齊，但唔改了，反正原理一樣）

（＊）亦都解釋埋，點解你借tax loan，直接幫你交去稅局嘅，就平息啲—因為你唔會拎走舊錢去炒股票，就算會，到你想唔還，稅局自然會玩到你謝。但而家好似唔興呢啲，咁嗰啲交三皮嘢稅借十皮tax loan嘅，就擺明想做股神啦，當然會平啲。除此以外，你見咩公務員醫生教師借錢都平啲—呢啲，就叫專業人士。我係咁定義啲。啲濕鳩財演CFA KOL Patreon作者當然唔專業，你行入銀行借錢咪知。你睇下你啲才華值幾錢一斤，值唔值錢過一個公務員廢柴文員證。

（＊＊）OK，快講兩句。丹麥唔係緊盯歐元，而係通過ERM 歐洲匯率機制。個名有啲熟？冇錯，英國30年前加入ERM，易腥蘇厘係盯住馬克（90年那來歐元呢老細？），歐洲最大經濟體系。但90年發生咩事？除咗西德捧世界盃（噢耶），就係兩德統一。之後德國通脹勁升，但經濟又熱，大手加息。英國呢？就赤字，想行低息。「炒家」睇準英國冇實力死跟，大手狂沽英鎊，英國加息但無助止住英鎊跌勢，最後英鎊退出ERM，英鎊半年跌咗30%（所以好難唔恥笑嗰啲講港紙由7.75跌到7.85會令經濟崩潰嘅人），輸咗納稅人33億英鎊（90年喎）．邊位炒定？正係索羅斯。

此事餘波甚勁，除咗令索羅斯家傳戶曉，成為 the man who broke the Bank of England（一己之力可以單挑大國央行喎），亦都令到執政保守黨馬卓安（讀得書少，冇計）1997年大選慘敗（5年選一次，索羅斯事件時剛好保守黨上台），輸畀工黨嘅貝理雅。然後保守黨一等就13年，2010年先再選到。亦令疑歐變成主流，種下埋脫歐嘅伏線（不過留意返，英國當年冇用歐元，係冇公投的）

寫寫下變咗另一篇文咁滯，簡短嘅睇返medium舊文（https://lkdin.io/3FcZ）。有興趣就嘅訂Patreon，遲下必然再寫呢個故事，太過癮。你話ERM廢？係英國廢啫。唔見丹麥爆煲？

（＊＊＊）應該講過幾廿次，但好多人以為銀行要自己睇好乜乜，睇淡乜乜。根本錯撚晒。我咁大間銀行，犯不著好似你啲網友咁估嚟估去。你要三千萬南非蘭特，我咪同你搵返嚟，然後Mark 高報價畀你，你做埋做唔做咪算。根本唔使任何風險。我要個牌就係做呢啲嘢，唔係同你啲老散一樣個個當自己南非專家。當然銀行亦有坐盤炒外匯，埃汾第一份工就做呢啲，但另一回事，而且監控嚴好多，況且而家越嚟越唔鼓勵—所以先有咁多雷曼債賣。

＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝
你嘅2020年點？我嘅2020年就幾好。Ivan Patreon，港美市場評點，專題號外，每日一圖，好文推介。每星期6篇，月費100唔使，4個月已1000人訂！（https://bityl.co/4Y0h）。月頭訂至抵，年費仲有85折，仲係睇13個月添。

Tags: ceteris paribus

君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚

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個人專頁. 股票分析及其他文章. 所有言論均屬個人意見, 不代表公司立場.

patreon.com/ivanliresearch 文青，財經分析員兼作家。同非金融人分享金融故事，

ceteris paribus 在君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚 Facebook 的最佳貼文

By 君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚

2020-07-22 19:55:03 有 293 人按讚

［DSE仆街點算好］考得好嘅，就梗係去外國，或者在香港讀醫。撈兵拿。但考得唔好架呢？

TLDR：真的，DSE仆咗街嘅，等同你半場輸咗0-2。係死唔晒架，係可以奇蹟反勝架，但你可以望下走地盤賠率點睇你。除咗好老土嘅，下半場努力啲。其實最緊要係，面對現實，檢討。十居其九，一係你懶，一係你屎，一係你柒（留意三者唔一樣，但唔少人三者集於一身）。一日仲係賴唔好彩嘅，一日你都唔會有進步。

1. 拿，其實我係可以五點半放工返屋企玩勞蘇的。但因為我有使命感，先寫埋呢篇文先放工

2. 講真的，DSE真係唔關我事。冇教書好耐，我啲學生仔都生埋。我又冇小朋友，我朋友啲小朋友又未去到咁大。而雖然本專頁嘅讀者其實多數後生過我，但相信都冇幾多個係考DSE嘅。仔女考DSE？讀者又好似冇咁老。不過可能些上些會去到啲考生，或家長度？是但

3. 上次開考時寫過一次（https://fbook.cc/3CiD），反應好好。未睇嘅，可以快手睇多次。

4. 如果你係考得好嘅，恭喜你。你應該做嘅嘢，係去外國讀書，或者在香港讀醫。撈冰拿。遲下再解。但真係唔使用腦。你唯一要擔心嘅，就係諗下點打發蘋果記者問你國安法。真的，啲人話小時了了，但我好似冇乜見高考學霸第日會仆街。況且，DSE仲小時？（但如果你成績好，但怕血又手震嘅，咁你就會end up 好似我咁嘅下場）

5. 咁所以，篇文，係畀啲考得唔好嘅人睇嘅。嚟啦喎

6. 上篇文都講，邊個話公開試唔緊要嘅，一巴星佢啦。咁大家都知道埃汾鍾意迫人面對殘酷嘅現實。所以呢，你DSE失利。恭喜你，你嘅人生已經輸咗一截，中咗一下超必咁，睇圖，你就係中咗拳嘅小麥奇

7. DSE仆咗街嘅，就等於踢波，半場你輸緊 0-2咁咯！如果屋企冇錢嘅，就等於再趕咗件出場咁上下。

8. 就係咁，有幾難明？係咪有人話唔重要？

9. 點解唔係0-1？以前有會考有高考嘛，而家一劑過，咪0-2。咁點解唔係0-3？又未咁絶望嘅，十幾歲仔。但都話，落後緊0-2咯。相當凶險架啦

10. 我唔明，啲人講「唔係世界末日」，「唔緊要」，係咩邏輯。係架，梗唔係世界末日，你咪畀我打兩巴咯，都唔係世界末日架。你咪試下聽日冇左隻手咯，唔係世界末日架，楊過都做大俠啦。

11. 真的，Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth。圖上面嘅泰臣講嘅。你畀人上枱打幾槌重拳，然後睇下仲係咪「仲有機會反勝」。當自己睇Rocky？應該變阿波羅嘅機會大啲。

12. 即係，寫文鳩up呃like唔緊要，但如果真係畀意見嘅，啲邏輯就唔好咁亂嚟。係呀，邊個邊個名人會考仆街後來係博士嘛（但更多名人會考唔仆街之後係博士），鄧小平係煙鏟都好長命嘛（但更多人唔係煙鏟都好長命），李斯特城唔係好有錢都拎英超冠軍嘛（但更多年更多聯賽都係錢多終勝）。係呀，有人中六合彩添。使乜考 DSE？

13. 我唔明點解咁多人，可以將特例當係道理。除非你證明到畀我睇，原來真係冇乜正相關，甚至係負相關。唔好講causation，根本correlation都未有

14. 咁明嘅，講嘅，可能出於好心啫。但你知我唔玩呢套，又唔係同你有親。但好處係我畀個真相你。即係你末期肺癌咁（放心，DSE仆街未去到咁嚴重嘅，「一期啦」），你親友梗係安慰你，呀邊個邊個都末期肺癌，之後忽然消失（癌細胞，唔係個人消失），出於好意，唔通話我地已經幫你搵定位咩。當然更多係啲借機呃你錢嘅偏方氣功撚。但醫生就會話你知，不如有乜心願做埋佢啦。梗有奇蹟，但醫生話到你知，有幾多機會。

15. 至於「焉知非福」「激發鬥志」論更加係戇鳩。係，可能係真。但，請參考泰臣嘅名句。好人好姐做乜要畀人打幾槌先激發鬥志？你啲鬥志都幾唔聽使喎。

16. 其實用足球比喻幾好，係呀，的確好多隊，落後兩球，下半場都可以反勝—不過更多隊係兩球優勢玩到你完場，甚至炒多你幾球。特別係你屋企冇錢，打少個的話。

17. 市場就最好，因為最現實。我當你係利物浦對橡樹之心（＊）都好，你一開波輸兩球兼打少個，你自己睇下，走地賠率會點。你唔係話畀我知會「激發鬥志」，所以更熱下話？咁不如下次開波自己擺兩球老烏「激發鬥志」咪仲好？（呢招係乜？星矢，足球小將，定芥川龍之介地獄變？）

18. 當然你係利物浦嘅，梗係可能反勝，你係橡樹之心都可能架。梗有可能。但，marginally, incrementally, ceteris paribus-ly，半場輸兩球打少件，點會唔係問題？

19. 好啦，其實冇事的。古語都有云啦，唔好放棄治療。但你認清事實先。你末期肺癌都話自己冇事嘅，點幫你？

20. 接受咗自己輸緊0-2嘅，咪好咯。從懺悔到贖罪嘛，你知道輸緊0-2同唔知，鬥志未必好有分別，但踢法都唔同啦。望下分牌先

21. 剩返嘅，就梗係好老土，踢好佢。但真係廢話，唔通耶穌（話時話，耶穌踢波的，在香港）咁，人地入你兩粒，你自己擺多兩粒老烏咩，老虎盃呀？

22. 你見啲人舉嗰啲例外，十居其十都係之後努力咗好多，先追得返。邊有咁多唔好彩。佢地照上半場咁踢嘅，就下半場輸多幾粒啦。但點解發奮咁難？就係我上篇文講嘅嘢：你DSE考得唔好嘅，打後好多時就係同啲廢柴一齊（不一定所以考得唔好嘅都係廢柴，但廢柴多數考得唔好，明冇？），你唔廢都變廢，有鬥志都變鬥志。就日日圍爐上網打飛機講讀書邊有用，李澤楷都冇學位，Steve Jobs同Mark Zuckerberg都中學未畢業。

23. 我想講，除咗「踢好剩返嘅半場」「好好享受足球」外（嘻，本質上呢句嘢，同你同末期肺癌講「有乜想做做埋佢」差不多，頂多係時間耐啲）外，我仲想講樣嘢。

24. 就係，檢討下啦！

25. 真的，遲下我會寫篇講投資嘅。但同一道理。首先，錯過之前升浪嘅，低位打晒靶嘅，本質上一樣。第一係接受自己失敗，錯咗。然後，諗下，點解會錯！亦即係你諗下點解你考成咁。點解你半場輸兩球。記住，誠實呀。你發現埃汾強調嘅核心價值，除咗高質，就係誠實。面對他人都仲可以唔誠實，面對自己都唔誠實嘅，好難救（但話說回頭，好似對自己誠實仲難）

26. 點解衰咗？一般人最常賴嘅嘢，就係運氣啦。挑，個市同實體經濟都脫節嘅。扯，球證偏幫，人地符碌。鬼咩，佢印漏條清代中央政制畀我喎（＊＊）

27. 十居其九，自己失敗都係唔好彩，人地成功就人地好彩，人之常情。我知真係好多時有運氣成份，但，就算有，都唔好養成乜都賴運氣，聯儲局，北水，大戶之類嘅習慣，否則你永遠唔會進步。講白啲，唔好彩都唔可以話自己唔好彩！而除非你真係考嗰日畀車撞到入咗廠之類，否則，唔好彩唔係一個理由。讀書係，投資更加係，你嘅人生更更更加係。你一事無成，總有原因。

28. 比較有得搞嘅，就係你用錯策略，或者低估對手，高估自己。即係你柒。懶廢柒之中，柒係比較易搞嘅。多數係有得救嘅。咁就靠你下半場踢好佢。但唔好忘記，其實你都真係冇乜真係巴閉，因為你稍為犯錯，就已經輸咗兩球。高手嘅嘢，犯錯都仲係領先你幾球。

29. 當然，仲有一個可能，十分殘酷，但好多時係事實—咪就係，你技不如人咯。有幾難明？你係利物浦對橡樹之心，你半場輸兩球，可能球證黑哨，唔好彩，輕敵。但你係橡樹之心嘅，唏，簡單啦，你半場輸兩球，咪就係因為你屎波咯！有幾難明？再殘忍啲都有呀：以你咁質地，先輸兩球咪好彩咯！

30. 咁，屎波可以點？我都唔知。除咗好廢嘅「努力啲」，或者「踢茅啲」（＊＊＊），都冇乜可以點。你應該要明白呢，冠軍就得一個。你努力，唔通人地唔努力？梗有人輸的。個個都5**，咪即係個個都唔係5**咯。考試又係一個咩遊戲呢，又？

31. 固然，轉個跑道，亦係得嘅。即係我踢波贏唔到你，打籃球咪贏你咯。「但我肯定C朗打羽毛球都贏你」。真的，有機會再講，但勁人呢，係真係可以做好多瓣都勁嘅。廢人亦係。呢個夠晒殘忍。但事實好似真係咁。「咁我打倉頡應該快過C朗嘅」

32. 所以講到尾，大家都知，總係唔會個個都成功。盡咗力，都真係冇計—雖然講呢句嘅十居其九都未盡力。而又其實，咪接受自己嘅位置咯。的確絶大多數人，都係唔會拎到金球獎的。但唔通全部死晒佢咩。生命仲有好多美好嘅東西嘅，例如一年去幾次日本啦，食返幾次米芝蓮兩星啦，睇下埃汾啲文咁咯。

33. 預告：我嚟緊想寫一篇，「如何決定聽乜人嘅意見」。夠晒high level，但真係一百億嘅問題。網友話打疫苗會自閉，醫生話唔係，咁我應該信邊個？但專家係咪一定啱？埃汾話買股票，但有人話核爆，咁信邊個好？呢個係一個意見多過屁眼嘅年代，人人都有個，人人都覺得其他人臭。咁你信邊個好？

34. 另一預告：其實文中都提過，嚟緊寫篇文，講檢閱你嘅投資成績。贏輸當然重要，但更重要係點解。

35. 補多句：其實而家應該冇人寫日記。但投資又好，做人又好，其實寫低自己諗過嘅嘢，都係十分好的。投資就係trade log，做人咪……林過雲日記。真的，例如你今日決定揀去讀精算，然後十年後一事無成（好似我咁），咁你至少睇返，自己當時點諗。係有嘢漏諗？定根本係自食其果？好重要。

36. 呀，筆鋒一轉，賣個廣告。絶對冇任何利益，亦唔係佢叫我出，雖然我估佢會請我食飯。但介紹返，培正專業書院 Pui Ching Academy （雖然我唔知有幾專業），我朋友 Simon Sai-hau Ho檔嘢（雖然我唔算同佢好熟，我都唔記得對上一次叫佢我我屋企飲咖啡係幾時）。愁出路嘅，可以諗下。講明，我一無所知。但我信佢。就係咁簡單。其他問題，就梗係你問佢。我不背書佢檔嘢，佢亦不背書我篇文。唔好問我「檔嘢好唔好」，咁大個人，為自己嘅決定盡返責任。我唯一可以答你嘅就係，我信佢。拿，呢三隻字幾咁有重量，重過佢同我加埋（目測佢應該重過我）

（＊）有幾多人唔Google都知係一隊波？

（＊＊）呢句係向律勤（假名）致敬的。踢波落後嘅嘢，佢好有經驗。聽聞考中史嗰日佢發現派漏條清代中央政制畀佢，佢想舉手問，但結果冇。考完就去咗踢波。所以佢篇文叫《踢球者》。佢家下都冇穿冇爛，不過家庭觀眾唔好學。鄧小平咯。

（＊＊＊）但的確係有用的。廣義嚟講，DSE你就焗考，但如果明知玩呢樣唔夠人玩嘅，第時就同人比較其他嘢啦。我最唔明就係有啲人，擺明唔係讀書材料，但又堅持幾廿歲人都玩呢啲遊戲，嘥錢嘥時間。但人就係咁，冇嗰樣整嗰樣，靚女想你讚佢好獨立唔係靠樣，大波想你讚佢好演技，賣才華想你讚佢靚仔（好似我咁），有錢仔就要搞埋啲start up 證明自己。巧拿煩的。

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Tags: ceteris paribus

君子馬蘭頭 - Ivan Li 李聲揚

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Ceteris Paribus Plots (What-If Plots) are designed to present model responses around a single point in the feature space. For example around a single ... ... <看更多>

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#1. 其他條件不變- 维基百科，自由的百科全书

其他條件不變是對拉丁文片語ceteris paribus（英語：all else equal）的中譯，意思是“其他條件相同”，英文簡稱為cp 前提。這個短語的意義為“其他事物保持不變”或“所有 ...

#2. Ceteris Paribus Definition - Investopedia

Ceteris paribus is a Latin phrase that generally means "all other things being equal." · In economics, it acts as a shorthand indication of the effect one ...

#3. CETERIS PARIBUS在劍橋英語詞典中的解釋及翻譯

ceteris paribus 的意思、解釋及翻譯：1. if everything else remains the same; other things being equal: 2. if everything else remains…。了解更多。

#4. Ceteris paribus - 假設其他條件不變 - 國家教育研究院雙語詞彙

Ceteris paribus. 以Ceteris paribus 進行詞彙精確檢索結果. 出處/學術領域, 英文詞彙 ...

#5. Ceteris Paribus - MBA智库百科

Ceteris Paribus 是指“在其他條件都不變的情況下”。最常見的是用在解釋某個線性回歸模型的繫數的時候，通常指在其他變數不變的情況下，繫數所屬的變數的變動所帶來的 ...

#6. 什麼是其他條件不變（ceteris paribus, all other things being ...

什麼是其他條件不變（ceteris paribus, all other things being equal）？為什麼可以這樣假設？作者. 劉邦啟. 說明. 發佈時間：20200508. 先不要笑，經濟學家不是不食 ...

#7. Definition of 'Ceteris Paribus' - The Economic Times

Definition of 'Ceteris Paribus' ... Definition: This commonly-used phrase stands for 'all other things being unchanged or constant'. It is used in economics to ...

#8. Ceteris Paribus: Some Notes on Methodology - jstor

use of the Marshallian device of ceteris paribus. PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS. The most familiar means through which the economist reduces the complex.

#9. Ceteris paribus Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster

The meaning of ceteris paribus is if all other relevant things, factors, or elements remain unaltered.

#10. Ceteris paribus definition and meaning - English - Collins ...

Ceteris paribus definition: other things being equal | Meaning, pronunciation, translations and examples.

#11. Ceteris Paribus 員工、地點、職涯

Ceteris Paribus | 93 位LinkedIn 關注者。Ceteris Paribus specializes in the translation of business, finance and economic reviews, documents and reports.

#12. ceteris paribus | Latin phrase | Britannica

Other articles where ceteris paribus is discussed: demand curve: …relationship is contingent on certain ceteris paribus (other things equal) conditions ...

#13. Ceteris Paribus by Knocker on Amazon Music

Check out Ceteris Paribus by Knocker on Amazon Music. Stream ad-free or purchase CD's and MP3s now on Amazon.com.

#14. Medical Definition of Ceteris paribus - RxList

Ceteris paribus : 1. Literally (in Latin), other things the same. 2. Figuratively, all else being equal (staying the same). 3. In research, the effect of one ...

#15. Ceteris Paribus Laws

The Latin phrase “ceteris paribus” or “caeteris paribus”—literally meaning “other things being equal”— was used in a non-technical sense by ...

#16. What Is Ceteris Paribus? - The Balance

Ceteris paribus (se-ter-es pa-re-bes) is a Latin phrase that means "all other things being equal." Experts use it to explain the theory behind laws of ...

#17. ceteris paribus - 英中– Linguee词典

Ceteris paribus any liability of Schaeffler ist excluded unless mandatory law e. g. the Product Liability Act requires it, as a result of the Product ...

#18. 10 Ceteris-paribus Profiles | Explanatory Model Analysis

“Ceteris paribus” is a Latin phrase meaning “other things held constant” or “all else unchanged”. The method examines the influence of an explanatory variable ...

#19. Retrospectives: Ceteris Paribus - American Economic ...

Retrospectives: Ceteris Paribus by Joseph Persky. Published in volume 4, issue 2, pages 187-193 of Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1990, ...

#20. CETERIS PARIBUS, THERE IS NO PROBLEM OF PROVISOS

Much of the literature on ceteris paribus laws is based on a misguided egalitarianism about the sciences. For example, it is commonly held that the special.

#21. ceteris paribus - 维基词典，自由的多语言词典

英语编辑. 发音编辑 · IPA：/ˈkɛtɘɹɪsˈpɑːɹɪbʊs/, /ˈsɛtɘɹɪsˈpɑːɹɪbʊs/. 语源编辑 · 新拉丁语。词组编辑 · ceteris paribus. 其它条件相同。

#22. About: Ceteris paribus - DBpedia

Ceteris paribus هو مصطلح لاتيني يستخدم اليوم في المواد العلمية، وخصوصا علم الاقتصاد. Property, Value. dbo:abstract.

#23. ceteris paribus - 英語 - 海词词典

ceteris paribus 的英文翻譯是什麼意思，詞典釋義與在線翻譯：. 英英釋義. Adverb: all other things being equal. ceteris paribus的相關資料：. 臨近單詞.

#24. Ceteris Paribus - Definition, Latest News, and Why ... - ClearTax

Ceteris paribus is a Latin phrase meaning 'with other things that are same' or 'other things being equal or held constant'.

#25. Ceteris paribus : An evolution within agricultural econometrics

Abstract. This article considers the role that ceteris paribus has played in the historical development of empirical demand analysis in agriculture.

#26. ceteris paribus - Dictionary Definition : Vocabulary.com

ceteris paribus all other things being equal · Citrus paradisi citrus tree bearing large round edible fruit having a thick yellow rind and juicy somewhat acid ...

#27. Ceteris Paribus Laws - Bibliography - PhilPapers

An alleged law of nature—like Newton's law of gravitation—is said to be a ceteris paribus law if it does not hold under certain circumstances but only 'when ...

#28. Ceteris Paribus | Marginal Revolution University

The condition of being identical in every respect has a special name: ceteris paribus, Latin for all else equal. It is one of the most important concepts, ...

#29. There Are No Ceteris Paribus Laws - De Gruyter

There Are No Ceteris Paribus Laws. From the book Johanssonian Investigations. Bengt Hansson. https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110322507.231. Cite this.

#30. Ceteris paribus, MB - Rekvizitai.lt

Ceteris paribus, MB 305306057. Appmakers. The directory of Lithuanian companies. JSC. Computer programming activities.

#31. Ceteris paribus - Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung

Ceteris paribus. Latein: Unter sonst gleich bleibenden, unveränderten Bedingungen (Einflussfaktoren). Print; Send via mail; Share ...

#32. 什么是其他条件不变（ceteris paribus）？为什么可以这样假设？

什么是其他条件不变（ceteris paribus）？为什么可以这样假设？经济学中时常以简化之模型或假设，来描绘现实复杂的社会现象，因此在讨论模型的静态分析时，若非讨论 ...

#33. ceteris paribus-翻译为中文-例句英语

Very modest coefficients. For comparison 1xCTaBka and Leon offer much more high cafe, and they are the Foundation of financial success, ceteris paribus. 非常 ...

#34. Ceteris paribus Definition & Meaning | Dictionary.com

Ceteris paribus definition, other things being equal. See more.

#35. Ceteris Paribus and Extrapolation - Oxford Scholarship

... its relevance to the hotly debated issue of ceteris paribus laws. ... beset the most problematic type of ceteris paribus law vanish if “ceteris paribus” ...

#36. fallible reports, ceteris paribus, and other hypotheses - PubMed

Zenilman's anomaly reconsidered: fallible reports, ceteris paribus, and other hypotheses. Sex Transm Dis. 1997 Oct;24(9):522-7. doi: ...

#37. Ceteris paribus Definition | Law Insider

Ceteris paribus is a Latin expression which means all other things remaining constant. It is an essential component of a scientific method.

#38. CP-nets: A Tool for Representing and Reasoning with ...

using conditional ceteris paribus (all else being equal) preference statements. CP-nets can be used to specify different types of preference relations, ...

#39. Ceteris Paribus (Short 2013) - IMDb

Ceteris Paribus : Directed by Jean-Baptiste Dusséaux. With Audrey Giacomini, Erwan Marinopoulos, Jackie Muteba. A man in his mid-thirties (Erwan ...

#40. (PDF) Retrospectives: Ceteris Paribus - ResearchGate

PDF | In Webster's Dictionary is an example of how to use “ceteris paribus “: [S]taple-growing states are, ceteris paribus, more favorable to slave.

#41. Ceteris Paribus - BusinessWorld Online

Ceteris paribus is the disclaimer for the equilibrium of the demand-and-supply curve, where prices go up as demand exceeds supply, when all ...

#42. Exporting Firms Do Not Pay Higher Wages, Ceteris Paribus ...

IZA DP No. 1185: Exporting Firms Do Not Pay Higher Wages, Ceteris Paribus. First Evidence from Linked Employer-Employee Data. Thorsten Schank, Claus Schnabel, ...

#43. Ceteris paribus. - APA PsycNET

Ceteris paribus. Citation. Bauer, R. A. (1964). Ceteris paribus. American Psychologist, 19(4), 288–289. https:// https://doi.org/10.1037/h0039682 ...

#44. pbiecek/ceterisParibus: Ceteris Paribus Plots (What-If ... - GitHub

Ceteris Paribus Plots (What-If Plots) are designed to present model responses around a single point in the feature space. For example around a single ...

#45. Ceteris Paribus Profiles • ceterisParibus

Ceteris Paribus Plots (What-If Plots) are designed to present model responses around a single point in the feature space. For example around a single ...

#46. Ceteris paribus - Oxford Reference

ceteris paribus. Quick Reference. Latin, other things being equal. A disclaimer frequently needed to qualify otherwise overstated claims, which are ...

#47. What is Ceteris Paribus | IGI Global

What is Ceteris Paribus? Definition of Ceteris Paribus: “All other things being equal” or “other things held constant.”

#48. ceteris paribus - Yahoo奇摩字典搜尋結果

ph. 【拉】其他情形均若相同. Dr.eye 譯典通片語. ceteris paribus.

#49. Ceteris Paribus | Topics | Economics | tutor2u

To simplify analysis, economists isolate the relationship between two variables by assuming ceteris paribus – i.e. all other influencing factors are held…

#50. Ceteris Paribus Hedges: Causal Voodoo That Works - Michael ...

Abstract: What do the words ceteris paribus add to a causal hypothesis, that is, to a generalization that is intended to articulate the consequences of a ...

#51. Laws, Ceteris Paribus Conditions, and the Dynamics of Belief

the issue about ceteris paribus conditions is essentially about how we epistemically deal with exceptions. Hence, ranking theory with its resources of ...

#52. What's the Point of Ceteris Paribus? or, How to Understand ...

So, it is common to interpret ceteris paribus laws, as Earman and Roberts (1999) do, as at best signaling “an embryonic theory on its way to being developed to ...

#53. ceteris paribus - Translation in LEO's English ⇔ German ...

Learn the translation for 'ceteris paribus' in LEO's English ⇔ German dictionary. With noun/verb tables for the different cases and tenses ✓ links to ...

#54. Ceteris Paribus | Encyclopedia.com

Ceteris ParibusWhat It MeansCeteris paribus is a Latin term that translates as “all other things being equal” or “holding all else constant.

#55. Ceteris paribus: A Glossary of Political Economy Terms

Ceteris paribus. Latin expression for "other things being equal." The term is used in economic analysis when the analyst wants to focus on explaining the ...

#56. What Does Ceteris Paribus Mean? | GoCardless

Ceteris paribus means “all other things being equal” in Latin. This concept can be used both to explain natural or scientific laws, as well as economic theories ...

#57. ceteris paribus (English → Spanish) - DeepL Translate

ceteris paribus - translated from English to Spanish Translate texts & full document files instantly. Accurate translations for individuals and Teams.

#58. Ceteris Paribus Examples

The Latin phrase ceteris paribus means "other things being equal." It's typically used to describe an economic situation of cause and effect while assuming ...

#59. Preference-based Multiobjective Virtual Machine Placement

This work adopts the notion of Ceteris Paribus (CP) as an interpretation of the Decision Maker (DM) preferences and incorporates it in a ...

#60. The Concept of Ceteris Paribus in Economics - Study.com

Ceteris paribus is the commonly used Latin phrase meaning 'all other things remaining constant.' When using ceteris paribus in economics, it is ...

#61. Ceteris Paribus

Ceteris paribus or caeteris paribus is a Latin phrase, literally translated as “with other things the same,” or “all other things being equal or held ...

#62. Medical Definition of Ceteris paribus - MedicineNet

Ceteris paribus : 1. Literally (in Latin), other things the same. 2. Figuratively, all else being equal (staying the same). 3.

#63. Marshall's ceteris paribus in a dynamic framework | CRENoS

The paper aims to propose a formalization of the concept of ceteris paribus (CP) by means of a dynamic model. The basic result of the analysis is that the ...

#64. Is it Possible to Relax Ceteris Paribus Assumption in ... - SSRN

Nonetheless, we agree that ceteris paribus assumption is necessary in 2-Dimensional and 3-Dimensional graphical methods in economic models ...

#65. 常见的"ceteris paribus assumption" 和"ceteris paribus demand ...

Ceteris Paribus 的说法在经济学学术文献中经常可以看到，具体的意思就是“在其他条件都不变的情况下”。最常见的是用在解释某个线性回归模型的系数的时候，通常指在其他变量 ...

#66. EDITORIAL The use of ceteris paribus clauses in philosophy ...

The topic of ceteris paribus laws is the focus of a minor but seemingly recession-proof industry in philosophy: hardly a year passes without the appearance of ...

#67. Ceteris paribus - Sesli Sözlük

ceteris paribus çevirisi anlamı nedir nasıl telaffuz ediliz. ... ceteris paribus. listen to the pronunciation of ceteris paribus. İngilizce - Türkçe ...

#68. Ceteris Paribus | INOMICS

Ceteris is Latin for “other things” and paribus means “equal” so the literal translation is “other things being equal” but in economics it is ...

#69. Ceteris paribus - EconPapers - RePEc

By .; Abstract: The Handbook of Economic Methodology is a major multidisciplinary reference work on the developing field of economic.

#70. Ceteris Paribus 的要点是什么？（或：如何理解供需曲线）

What's the Point of Ceteris Paribus? (Or: How to Understand Supply and Demand Curves) · Philosophy of Science ( IF 1.317 ) Pub Date : 2018-04-01 ...

#71. Ceteris paribus, meta-analysis and value transfer - EconBiz

Socio-economic planning sciences : the international journal of public sector decision-making. - Oxford [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0038-0121, ZDB-ID 2089051.

#72. Incorporating Ceteris Paribus Preferences in Multiobjective ...

Incorporating Ceteris Paribus Preferences in Multiobjective Virtual Machine Placement. Abstract: Proper handling of preferences in ...

#73. The ceteris paribus assumption - WikiEducator

The Latin phrase ceteris paribus means “all other things remaining equal.” Because there are multiple factors influencing any one variable, ...

#74. The Metaphysics of Ceteris Paribus Laws | Reviews

Markus Schrenk's The Metaphysics of Ceteris Paribus Laws, based on his Oxford doctoral thesis, is a very rich and original contribution to a ...

#75. explaining Machine Learning models with Ceteris Paribus ...

pyCeterisParibus: explaining Machine Learning models with Ceteris Paribus Profiles in Python. Journal of Open Source Software, 4(37), 1389, ...

#76. Hermeneutics of Ceteris Paribus in the African Context

This article has provided a philosophical discourse approach in deconstructing Ceteris Paribus (CP) as applied in contemporary Africa.

#77. Statistics can lie, but truth comes with ceteris paribus | Business

But our ceteris paribus in these arguments calls for all things that might be relevant to the minimum wage to be held constant for us to get a ...

#78. On the Role of Minimal Change in Rational Theory Development

書名：Ceteris Paribus in Conservative Belief Revision: On the Role of Minimal Change in Rational Theory Development，語言：英文，ISBN：9783631572832， ...

#79. Ceteris Paribus的意思是什麼？它是如何使用的？

使用ceteris paribus的作者試圖區分一種變化與其他變體的影響。 “經濟學家”這個術語經常被用來描述一種情況，即供給或需求的決定因素會發生變化，而影響供需 ...

#80. On ceteris paribus laws in economics (and elsewhere) - the ...

On ceteris paribus laws in economics (and elsewhere): Why do social sciences matter to each other. Menno Rol. Research output: Contribution to journal ...

#81. CETERIS PARIBUS, ETC. - Wiley Online Library

CETERIS PARIBUS, ETC. Cliff Lloyd, State University of Ncw York at Buffalo in (( Lloyd on the Falsifiability of Economic Theory H Professor.

#82. Efficient utility functions for ceteris paribus preferences - ACM ...

<i>Ceteris paribus</i> (other things being equal) preference provides a convenient means for stating constraints on numeric utility ...

#83. The WTO by 2022 — ceteris paribus?

Many visions are questionable and some are highly improbable because basic other things (ceteris) will, or will not, remain the same (paribus). Trade, ...

#84. What is a Ceteris Paribus? - 2020 - Robinhood Learn

Ceteris paribus — a Latin phrase meaning, “holding other things constant" — is an economic concept that assumes all factors in a dynamic ...

#85. Ceteris paribus - The Free Dictionary

Define ceteris paribus. ceteris paribus synonyms, ceteris paribus pronunciation, ceteris paribus translation, English dictionary definition of ceteris ...

#86. materiality and the application of economic theories - Taylor ...

(2001). Ceteris paribus conditions: materiality and the application of economic theories. Journal of Economic Methodology: Vol. 8, No.

#87. ceteris paribus - Deutsches Rechtschreibwörterbuch | PONS

Beispiele aus dem Internet (nicht von der PONS Redaktion geprüft). Deutsch. Eine Elastizität gibt an, um welchen relativen Betrag sich ceteris paribus der ...

#88. ceteris paribus - Gale Nelson - Small Press Distribution

ceteris paribus Poetry. CETERIS PARIBUS is a phrase commonly used by economists and means "assuming all other things are held constant.

#89. Ceteris paribus, competition is king | ACCC

Ceteris paribus, competition is king. Speakers: Mr Rod Sims, Chair. Conference: 2017 Annual Conference of Economists. 21 July 2017. ACCC Chair Rod Sims has ...

#90. What Does Ceteris Paribus Mean and How Is It Used?

The term "ceteris paribus" is often used in economics to describe a situation where one determinant of supply or demand changes while all ...

#91. CETERIS PARIBUS PERFORMANCE LTD overview

CETERIS PARIBUS PERFORMANCE LTD - Free company information from Companies House including registered office address, filing history, accounts, annual return ...

#92. On ceteris paribus laws in economics (and elsewhere)

ceteris paribus, abstraction, concretisation, logical strength, ... Stipulating universal propositions with a ceteris paribus clause is ...

#93. Brasil - CETERIS PARIBUS PROVISOS, KNOWLEDGE OF ...

Eleonora Orlando argues that one must understand some descriptivist theories of names that I criticize in my book Roads to Reference as ceteris paribus ...

#94. Hermeneutics of Ceteris Paribus in the African Context

This article has provided a philosophical discourse approach in deconstructing Ceteris Paribus (CP) as applied in contemporary Africa. The ...

#95. Ceteris Paribus - song by Knocker | Spotify

Listen to Ceteris Paribus on Spotify. Knocker · Song · 2012.

#96. What Does Ceteris Paribus Mean? | Economics Online

Ceteris paribus is a Latin phrase, and it means “all other things being equal.” It is often used by experts in order to explain the theories behind laws of ...

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