Joe:「FOMC最快9月下旬啟動縮減QE,雖然我認為年底再縮減QE比較理想,不過對於美股來說,股價算是先走一步了,把企業營運的好表現,提前price in,搞不好FED就算9月下旬沒有縮減QE,股市也會走跌。」
7月美國新增近100萬個工作職缺,失業率也大幅下降,加上薪資上漲,6月和5月的數據也獲上修11.9萬人。7月失業率驟減至5.4%,主要受惠民眾工作意願有所增加,7月勞動力參與率上升至61.7%。此數據反映15歲以上人口中有參與勞動的比率,似乎更接近聯準會(Fed)實施貨幣政策正常化的標準。
Fed理事Christopher Waller表示,若非農就業數據顯示,7月和8月美國非農就業人口增加80萬至100萬人,他預估,Fed可能在今年10月之前,就會縮減每月1200億美元的資產購買規模,Fed副主席Richard Clarida也稱,美國經濟有望持續成長,帶動勞動力市場復甦,並讓平均通貨膨脹年增率保持在2%以上,且維持足夠長的時間。在此情況下,Fed可在2023年初開始升息,而Fed將在未來的會議上討論縮減購債規模,摩根大通資產管理(JP Morgan Asset Management)全球市場策略師Mike Bell指出:「7月非農就業報告亮眼,凸顯勞動力市場正強勁復甦,並增加了Fed儘快縮減購債的可能性。」
許多市場專家猜測,在8月下旬的Jackson Hole全球央行年會上,Fed主席Jerome Powell將針對縮減購債規模的議題提出討論,本周以來聯準會(Fed)官員紛紛表態支持縮減購債規模,Fed去年3月為了支撐美國對抗疫情重創而祭出多項措施,其中之一就是每月購買1,200億美元公債和抵押貸款證券(MBS),俾以維持銀行和金融業者握有足夠現金。
堪薩斯城聯準銀行總裁Esther George表示,Fed在提振經濟成長與就業目標的實質進展,已足以調降購債規模,George向全美企業經濟協會(NABE)發表演說提及,需求強勁、就業市場復甦、穩定的通貨膨脹預期,皆意味Fed無須再購買資產以刺激成長,「我支持讓資產購買告一段落」。
此外,達拉斯聯準銀行總裁Robert Kaplan則說,「倘若經濟都如預期持續發展,我會支持Fed在9月會議決定縮表,然後自10月開始啟動。」他認為,若從10月起開始縮減每月購買公債和MBS規模,大約需要進行八個月的時間。他建議Fed每月購買的公債與MBS各減少100億美元、50億美元,直到2022年中完全結束。
波士頓聯準銀行總裁Eric Rosengren指出,鑒於美國經濟已從疫情中強勁復甦,Fed最快在9月就會宣布開始減少每月1,200億美元的購債規模。
亞特蘭大聯準銀行總裁Raphael Bostic亦表示,雖然他預期Fed將在第四季啟動減債計畫,但如果就業市場繼續維持強勁表現,不排除減債行動將會更早開始。
Fed決策者在上月會議已就何時以及如何縮減購債展開討論,預計9月21~22日的會議將再掀辯論,Fed尚未削減,流動性就有蒸發跡象,貨幣供給、國內生產毛額(GDP)成長率的差距,被經濟學者稱為馬歇爾K值(Marshallian K),可用來衡量金融市場的流動性。馬歇爾K值剛剛轉負、為2018年以來首見,暗示GDP的成長速度比M2貨幣供應額還快。這對依靠過多流動性支撐比特幣、迷因股等資產的金融市場而言,恐造成問題。
過去歷史顯示,1990年代期間,馬歇爾K值雖頻繁轉負、但股市仍持續上漲,但自2008年全球爆發金融海嘯過後的趨勢卻值得關注。該項數值曾於2010年跌破零,S&P500同年一度出現16%的修正;2018年數值轉負也預告賣壓將至、牛市幾乎遭到扼殺,投資人一直在密切關注最近幾月的通貨膨脹壓力,擔憂物價持續上揚,可能迫使Fed提前收緊寬鬆的貨幣政策。
達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行總裁Robert Kaplan或許是至今立場最偏鷹派的Fed官員。其他包括Fed主席Jerome Powell在內的央行高層,都尚未預測何時會削減貨幣刺激政策,Kaplan日表示,他之所以認為Fed應儘快削減QE,是因為這些購債行動的目的在刺激需求,但美國經濟並無需求方面的問題,他寧可趕緊放開油門,免得未來被迫採取更為激進的行動。
值得注意的是,報告顯示,二手車價格7月僅月增0.2%,遠低於6月超過10%的增幅。Principal Global Investors策略長Seema Shah表示,這份報告應能緩解聯準會(Fed)對通貨膨脹太過忽視的疑慮。仔細分析可以發現,經濟重啟、供應短缺帶動的物價壓力已稍稍緩解,暗示通貨膨脹也許觸頂了。
https://finance.technews.tw/2021/08/09/the-market-expects-that-the-fed-has-a-high-probability-of-underweight-debt-purchases/
https://www.moneydj.com/kmdj/news/newsviewer.aspx?a=df578595-5821-4b3d-9652-8e052700fa89
https://readers.ctee.com.tw/cm/20210813/a08aa8/1139753/bb7fb4c819ba89fabc4d439a6bedc35f/share
同時也有5部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過361萬的網紅Dan Lok,也在其Youtube影片中提到,WATCH THIS Before You Ignore Social Media Marketing! If You're Not Using Social Media Grow Your Business, You’re Leaving A Lot Of Money On The Table… ...
debt management 在 傅麗玲 Cindy Po Facebook 的精選貼文
感恩所有报馆的报道 🙏
谢谢 💓 丽玲姐姐爱你们 🥳
抗疫时期应有✅的理财💰知识
谢谢南洋商报 💓 南洋商报 Nanyang Siang Pau
https://www.enanyang.my/北马/槟财务规划委员会-711联办中文理财论坛
谢谢中国报 💓 China Press (中國報)
http://penang.chinapress.com.my/20210630/%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85%E4%B8%8B%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E8%B4%A2%E7%9F%A5%E8%AF%86%E8%AE%BA%E5%9D%9B-711%E7%BA%BF%E4%B8%8A%E7%BA%A6%E5%AE%9A%E6%82%A8/
谢谢 光华报 💓 光华日报 Kwong Wah Yit Poh
https://www.kwongwah.com.my/20210630/%E6%8A%97%E7%96%AB%E6%97%B6%E6%9C%9F%E5%BA%94%E6%9C%89%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E8%B4%A2%E7%9F%A5%E8%AF%86%E8%AE%BA%E5%9D%9B%E7%BA%A6%E5%AE%9A%E6%82%A8%EF%BC%81/
谢谢光明日报 💓 Guangming Daily-光明日报
https://guangming.com.my/%e6%aa%b3%e8%8f%af%e9%9d%92%e5%9c%98%e7%90%86%e8%b2%a1%e8%ab%96%e5%a3%87-%e8%ab%96%e7%96%ab%e6%9c%9f%e7%90%86%e8%b2%a1%e5%8e%9f%e5%89%87%e7%9f%a5%e8%ad%98
谢谢 💓
https://cforum.cari.com.my/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=4284590&extra=
谢谢 💓
https://hotlah.cari.com.my/portal.php?mod=view&aid=154665
谢谢 星州日报 💓
https://www.sinchew.com.my/content/content_2511737.html
谢谢 💓 南洋商报 - 北马区
https://www.enanyang.my/北马/不仅储蓄-投资也是理财
谢谢 💓 The Star The Star
https://www.thestar.com.my/metro/metro-news/2021/07/15/pandemic-driven-financial-habits
Facing financial problems during the fighting periods against the pandemic
Dr Tan Chuan Hong: Welcome to free registration for attending 711 Mandarin Personal Financial Planning Forum.
The Chairman of the Malaysian Financial Planning Council Penang Chapter, Dr. Tan Chuan Hong urged the public to register to join the forum which will be held on July 11 (Sunday) at 2:30 pm. The forum “Knowledge, Attitude and Implementation of Personal Financial Planning during the Fighting Period against the Pandemic" is organised by Penang Chinese Town Hall Youth together with live broadcaster "Ling Listening to Your Heart".
He said that during the fighting period of more than a year against the pandemic, many people are facing financial pressures and suffering from mental illnesses such as depression, and there is a gradual increase in them.
Dr Tan Chuan Hong said that beside public hope that the government can give more assistance and revitalization packages to assist them, the council also hopes to provide more correct and positive financial management knowledge through this Personal Financial Planning forum. So that, the public can have a broader and long-term vision to deal with their own financial problems, whether it is to increase income and reduce expenditure, relieve debt pressure, prudent and smart investment or asset allocation and other arrangements as well as have a better understanding and wise decision-making.
"In terms of financial management attitude, we should handle financial crisis more carefully, and at the same time avoid overconfidence and fluke mentality to seek for opportunities of rapid gaining investment.”
Dr Tan Chuan Hong hopes that through this Personal Financial Planning forum, people can have a more rational attitude and strive to reduce emotional consumption when implementing their own money and avoid falling into investment scams with smarter financial management.
In addition, Penang Chinese Town Hall Youth YouTalk Online Bureau Chief said that the online live broadcast sharing session planned by Penang Chinese Town Hall Youth will mainly discuss about public welfare content related to citizens' awareness.
This is the sixth event which was also co-organized by the Penang Chapter of MFPC collaborated with famous artist Cindy Po 傅丽玲 ; and an interview will be carried out among Deputy President of Malaysian Financial Plaining Council Dr Chong Kok Fei who is also a Financial Education Manager of AKPK together with Chairman of MFPC Penang Chapter and Certified MFPC Trainer Dr Tan Chuan Hong.
Those who are interested in participating in this online Personal Financial Planning online forum can register for free (for the public) https://1st.mfpc.org.my/PublicEventRegistration/280, and (for MFPC members) through https://1st.mfpc .org.my and will get 2 CPDs points.
debt management 在 足球財經 Facebook 的最讚貼文
#馬體會 獲得私募基金 Ares Management 注資 €181.8m, 換取球會股本擴大後 33.9% 股份。
http://www.insideworldfootball.com/2021/06/29/atletico-madrid-sells-off-33-9-club-e181m-see-debt-crisis/
馬德里體育會香港球迷會 Peña Atlético de Madrid en Hong Kong
馬德里競技/馬德里體育會 Atlético de Madrid Football Fans
debt management 在 Dan Lok Youtube 的最讚貼文
WATCH THIS Before You Ignore Social Media Marketing! If You're Not Using Social Media Grow Your Business, You’re Leaving A Lot Of Money On The Table… Click Here To Discover More Of Dan's Secrets To Business Success And Significance: http://socialmediasales.danlok.link
Most people have a social media profile that repels business opportunities and sales without even knowing it. If you’re a business owner, a career professional, or just starting out, watch this video as Dan and Wes Moss discuss why social media is the new power medium to attracting opportunities and getting more sales.
Wes Moss is the Chief Investment Strategist at Capital Investment Advisors and is the host of Money Matters. From 2014 through 2018, Wes Moss has been named one of America’s top 1,200 financial advisors by Barron’s. Wes has also written several books, including Starting from Scratch, and he is a regular contributor to the Atlanta Journal Constitution.
? SUBSCRIBE TO DAN'S YOUTUBE CHANNEL NOW ?
https://www.youtube.com/danlok?sub_confirmation=1
Check out these Top Trending Playlists -
1.) Boss In The Bentley - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEmTTOfet46OWsrbWGPnPW8mvDtjge_6-
2.) Sales Tips That Get People To Buy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6Csz_hvXzw&list=PLEmTTOfet46PvAsPpWByNgUWZ5dLJd_I4
3.) Dan Lok’s Best Secrets - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZNmFJUuTRs&list=PLEmTTOfet46N3NIYsBQ9wku8UBNhtT9QQ
Not long ago, Dan Lok was just a poor immigrant boy. He had nothing but a strong desire to get out of debt and make enough to provide for his single mom. With this strong desire, Dan quit his job as a grocery bagger. He dropped out of college. And he became an entrepreneur.
After 13 failed businesses, Dan finally became a self-made millionaire at age 27 and multi-millionaire by age 30.
Fast forward to today, Dan is now an official Forbes Book author with over 13 internationally best-selling books. He’s the founder and chairman of several multimillion dollar businesses. And outside of his business success, he is one of the most-watched, most quoted and most followed educators of our time. In total, his videos have been watched over 100-million times across his social media platforms. His emails are read by over 2,000,000 people every month.
If you want the no b.s. way to master your financial destiny, then learn from Dan. Subscribe to his channel now.
★☆★ CONNECT WITH DAN ON SOCIAL MEDIA ★☆★
YouTube: http://youtube.danlok.link
Dan Lok Blog: http://blog.danlok.link
Facebook: http://facebook.danlok.link
Instagram: http://instagram.danlok.link
Linkedin: http://mylinkedin.danlok.link
Podcast: http://thedanlokshow.danlok.link
#DanLok #SocialMedia #Marketing
Please understand that by watching Dan’s videos or enrolling in his programs does not mean you’ll get results close to what he’s been able to do (or do anything for that matter).
He’s been in business for over 20 years and his results are not typical.
Most people who watch his videos or enroll in his programs get the “how to” but never take action with the information. Dan is only sharing what has worked for him and his students.
Your results are dependent on many factors… including but not limited to your ability to work hard, commit yourself, and do whatever it takes.
Entering any business is going to involve a level of risk as well as massive commitment and action. If you're not willing to accept that, please DO NOT WATCH DAN’S VIDEOS OR SIGN UP FOR ONE OF HIS PROGRAMS.
This video is about WATCH THIS Before You Ignore Social Media Marketing...
https://youtu.be/VTv0nHJ1zM0
https://youtu.be/VTv0nHJ1zM0
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/VTv0nHJ1zM0/hqdefault.jpg)
debt management 在 Dan Lok Youtube 的最佳解答
If Your Habit Of Managing Money Is Not In Place, You’ll Always Be Stuck At The Same Financial Level. Click Here To Discover How To Manage Your Money Like The Rich In Dan’s New Book, Unlock It: http://managemoney.danlok.link
Contrary to popular belief, it’s not about how much money you make, it’s about how much money you keep. So in this video, Dan and Desmond, his Executive Director, talks about how to manage your money like the rich using the simple “Bucket Theory”. What is the bucket theory? Watch this video to discover what it is and how you can implement it now to manage your money like the rich.
? SUBSCRIBE TO DAN'S YOUTUBE CHANNEL NOW ?
https://www.youtube.com/danlok?sub_confirmation=1
Check out these Top Trending Playlists -
1.) Boss In The Bentley - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEmTTOfet46OWsrbWGPnPW8mvDtjge_6-
2.) Sales Tips That Get People To Buy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6Csz_hvXzw&list=PLEmTTOfet46PvAsPpWByNgUWZ5dLJd_I4
3.) Dan Lok’s Best Secrets - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZNmFJUuTRs&list=PLEmTTOfet46N3NIYsBQ9wku8UBNhtT9QQ
Not long ago, Dan Lok was just a poor immigrant boy. He had nothing but a strong desire to get out of debt and make enough to provide for his single mom. With this strong desire, Dan quit his job as a grocery bagger. He dropped out of college. And he became an entrepreneur.
After 13 failed businesses, Dan finally became a self-made millionaire at age 27 and multi-millionaire by age 30.
Fast forward to today, Dan is now an official Forbes Book author with over 13 internationally best-selling books. He’s the founder and chairman of several multimillion dollar businesses. And outside of his business success, he is one of the most-watched, most quoted and most followed educators of our time. In total, his videos have been watched over 100-million times across his social media platforms. His emails are read by over 2,000,000 people every month.
If you want the no b.s. way to master your financial destiny, then learn from Dan. Subscribe to his channel now.
★☆★ CONNECT WITH DAN ON SOCIAL MEDIA ★☆★
YouTube: http://youtube.danlok.link
Dan Lok Blog: http://blog.danlok.link
Facebook: http://facebook.danlok.link
Instagram: http://instagram.danlok.link
Linkedin: http://mylinkedin.danlok.link
Podcast: http://thedanlokshow.danlok.link
#DanLok #Money #Rich
Please understand that by watching Dan’s videos or enrolling in his programs does not mean you’ll get results close to what he’s been able to do (or do anything for that matter).
He’s been in business for over 20 years and his results are not typical.
Most people who watch his videos or enroll in his programs get the “how to” but never take action with the information. Dan is only sharing what has worked for him and his students.
Your results are dependent on many factors… including but not limited to your ability to work hard, commit yourself, and do whatever it takes.
Entering any business is going to involve a level of risk as well as massive commitment and action. If you're not willing to accept that, please DO NOT WATCH DAN’S VIDEOS OR SIGN UP FOR ONE OF HIS PROGRAMS.
This video is about How To Manage Your Money Like The Rich
https://youtu.be/K7uhGjsy5d8
https://youtu.be/K7uhGjsy5d8
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/K7uhGjsy5d8/hqdefault.jpg)
debt management 在 Dan Lok Youtube 的最讚貼文
Do You Feel Like You’re Constantly Busy Without Achieving The Sales You Want? Click Here To Discover How To Achieve More Sales In Less Time Using 3 Powerful Secrets Found In Dan's New Article: http://achievemorelesstime.danlok.link
How you use your time ultimately determines how much you will get done, how fast you’re going to achieve success, and how much you make. If you want to know how to achieve more in less time, watch this video as Dan and Desmond, his Executive Director, breaks down the productivity secrets of highly successful and productive people.
? SUBSCRIBE TO DAN'S YOUTUBE CHANNEL NOW ?
https://www.youtube.com/danlok?sub_confirmation=1
Check out these Top Trending Playlists -
1.) Boss In The Bentley - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEmTTOfet46OWsrbWGPnPW8mvDtjge_6-
2.) Sales Tips That Get People To Buy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6Csz_hvXzw&list=PLEmTTOfet46PvAsPpWByNgUWZ5dLJd_I4
3.) Dan Lok’s Best Secrets - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZNmFJUuTRs&list=PLEmTTOfet46N3NIYsBQ9wku8UBNhtT9QQ
Not long ago, Dan Lok was just a poor immigrant boy. He had nothing but a strong desire to get out of debt and make enough to provide for his single mom. With this strong desire, Dan quit his job as a grocery bagger. He dropped out of college. And he became an entrepreneur.
After 13 failed businesses, Dan finally became a self-made millionaire at age 27 and multi-millionaire by age 30.
Fast forward to today, Dan is now an official Forbes Book author with over 13 internationally best-selling books. He’s the founder and chairman of several multimillion dollar businesses. And outside of his business success, he is one of the most-watched, most quoted and most followed educators of our time. In total, his videos have been watched over 100-million times across his social media platforms. His emails are read by over 2,000,000 people every month.
If you want the no b.s. way to master your financial destiny, then learn from Dan. Subscribe to his channel now.
★☆★ CONNECT WITH DAN ON SOCIAL MEDIA ★☆★
YouTube: http://youtube.danlok.link
Dan Lok Blog: http://blog.danlok.link
Facebook: http://facebook.danlok.link
Instagram: http://instagram.danlok.link
Linkedin: http://mylinkedin.danlok.link
Podcast: http://thedanlokshow.danlok.link
#DanLok #AchieveMore #LessTime
Please understand that by watching Dan’s videos or enrolling in his programs does not mean you’ll get results close to what he’s been able to do (or do anything for that matter).
He’s been in business for over 20 years and his results are not typical.
Most people who watch his videos or enroll in his programs get the “how to” but never take action with the information. Dan is only sharing what has worked for him and his students.
Your results are dependent on many factors… including but not limited to your ability to work hard, commit yourself, and do whatever it takes.
Entering any business is going to involve a level of risk as well as massive commitment and action. If you're not willing to accept that, please DO NOT WATCH DAN’S VIDEOS OR SIGN UP FOR ONE OF HIS PROGRAMS.
This video is about How To Achieve More In Less Time
https://youtu.be/52eWSX9GsIM
https://youtu.be/52eWSX9GsIM
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/52eWSX9GsIM/hqdefault.jpg)
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