美國國債破四兆美元了,會死掉嗎?
還不會,但事情變得複雜。美國破四兆的國債是什麼概念? 就是到今年年底,這個債務會大於美國的GDP。美國境內所有人賺的錢都拿去還債還還不完的意思。
大家關心美國國債,很多出於兩個主要原因: 美國會不會倒? 台灣跟美國走這麼近,美國倒了怎麼辦?
想像國家就跟一個人一樣,借錢有借有還再借不難,信用越好的人,可以借得越多,大家巴不得借你錢,如果你資產雄厚,大家覺得你借得起,也巴不得借你錢。負債遠超過年度所得的個人與公司多得去了,重點在還款能力跟付得起的利息水準。
如果你跟別人借的錢還是你自己印的,那簡直跟免錢的一樣了。
這就是為什麼,雖然疫情下美國瘋狂舉債,美國債券殖利率還是超級低 (借錢的人願意用很低的利息借錢給美國)。因為相比於美國,全世界其他國家除了德國之外,沒有哪個國家的信用比美國好,又能提供大家滿意的利息了。
而又很剛好,美國聯準會量化寬鬆的方式,是印鈔票來買回美債。自己印鈔票把自己的債買回來,天底下有這麼好的事? 對,因為美元是全世界通行貨幣,而且幾乎是唯一可以用來買石油的貨幣,美金只要是真鈔,印出來大家都會要。
這就是美國霸權最關鍵的核心之一: 石油--美元制度。
但任何事情都有一個極限,我們應該關心的是美國接下來的發展。就像銀行借錢給公司行號,看的是他能不能用這筆錢製造出更多收入,以利於未來還款。
以美國目前多數產業都領先全球的狀況,美國的還款能力暫時還不會有太大的問題。問題是在於美國國內。
國債對美國國民的負擔不是均等的,國內的弱勢福利最有可能被砍,因為他們不負責賺錢。但社會安全網對一個國家的進步是有長遠影響的。
美國可能也不能常常出去跟人party all night,國際組織、同盟分攤金大撒幣的意願可能會降低,兄弟被欺負幫人打架的意願也低了。因為這些都要花錢。
民主國家需要選舉,開始討論這個資源怎麼分配的時候,你覺得美國選民比較在意自己的退休金,還是天涯海角的一個國家在打仗?
這些發展都是美國霸權逐漸走下坡的可能性。
但有個好方法,去跟你的對手要錢。所以為什麼美國現在要跟中國求償新冠病毒 (武漢肺炎) 的損失,然後貿易戰停戰目前也沒有要展延的意思。
不管你是投資人或者關心台灣未來的人,都應該要思考靠山山倒、靠人人跑的道理。
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/495903-judd-gregg-coronavirus-is-a-debt-crisis-too?fbclid=IwAR3EZXDkIoScSk1BIIgrc-Dbu8fvVbeiLUB9LdzCSEkdPNVEUPbKyW_wSck
run up debts 在 Milton Goh Blog and Sermon Notes Facebook 的最佳解答
We Are Made Profitable By Grace
Paul’s letter to Philemon is his shortest letter (only 1 chapter) in the New Testament but contains a powerful picture of our reconciliation to God through Jesus Christ’s death and resurrection.
It wasn’t immediately obvious to me but the revelation just came.
Firstly, some background:
“Paul, a prisoner of Christ Jesus, and Timothy our brother, to Philemon, our beloved fellow worker, to the beloved Apphia, to Archippus, our fellow soldier, and to the assembly in your house: Grace to you and peace from God our Father and the Lord Jesus Christ. I thank my God always, making mention of you in my prayers, hearing of your love, and of the faith which you have toward the Lord Jesus, and toward all the saints; that the fellowship of your faith may become effective, in the knowledge of every good thing which is in us in Christ Jesus.” (Philemon 1:1-6 WEB)
Philemon’s name means “kiss” and He was a wealthy believer and a leader of the church that met in his home.
Philemon had a runaway slave called Onesimus (his name means “profitable”) who was imprisoned.
“I beg you for my child, whom I have become the father of in my chains, Onesimus, who once was useless to you, but now is useful to you and to me. I am sending him back. Therefore receive him, that is, my own heart,” (Philemon 1:10-12 WEB)
It is not explicitly written, but the probable crime that Onesimus committed is that he stole from Philemon and tried to run away but was caught and imprisoned.
In prison, Onesimus repented and became a Christian through Paul’s preaching and also turned out to be useful to Paul for ministry.
Paul wrote to Philemon to plead him to forgive and receive Onesimus back as a Christian brother, as if Philemon were receiving Paul himself instead.
“For perhaps he was therefore separated from you for a while, that you would have him forever, no longer as a slave, but more than a slave, a beloved brother, especially to me, but how much rather to you, both in the flesh and in the Lord. If then you count me a partner, receive him as you would receive me.” (Philemon 1:15-17 WEB)
Paul also promised to repay any debts that Onesimus owed Philemon—Paul became Onesimus’ personal guarantor.
“If then you count me a partner, receive him as you would receive me. But if he has wronged you at all, or owes you anything, put that to my account. I, Paul, write this with my own hand: I will repay it (not to mention to you that you owe to me even your own self besides).” (Philemon 1:17-19 WEB)
Finally, Paul asked Philemon to prepare a guest room for him, hoping and expecting to be released so that he can visit Philemon.
“Also, prepare a guest room for me, for I hope that through your prayers I will be restored to you.” (Philemon 1:22 WEB)
So what does this all mean?
These are who the characters in this letter represent:
Philemon is our Heavenly Father.
Onesimus is a believer.
Paul is Jesus.
Philemon is a picture of our loving and wealthy Heavenly Father. We were once like Onesimus, runaway slaves who committed crimes against Him.
We were estranged from God and far off.
We were shut up in prison, being spiritually-dead in our sins. However, while we were dead in our trespasses, we encountered Jesus and believed in Him.
As He promised, Jesus took our place to pay all our sin debts at the cross.
He even gave us His very own righteousness so that God the Father can receive us unrestrictedly as if He was receiving Jesus Himself.
Thanks to this, we who believe in Jesus became profitable children for service in contrast to our previous identity as unprofitable slaves.
Now as children of God, we are freed from the prison of death and sins.
We have been sent by Jesus to fulfill our calling to minister to others in the Lord.
Paul asking Philemon to prepare a guest room is a picture of Jesus’ resurrection from the dead and ascension back to the Father after He paid for all the sins of the world at the cross.
Can you see the beautiful picture of our salvation in this short letter?
I love it when the Holy Spirit reveals these hidden truths about Jesus to us!
Thanks to God’s Grace, we have become “Onesimus”—profitable children of God.
Let us live lives worthy of the great salvation that we have been blessed with.
—————
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run up debts 在 謙預 Qianyu.sg Facebook 的精選貼文
【明月幾時有,把餅問清天】
I sometimes ask myself, what will I do, if I'm caught in a mass disaster?
Will I, like the passengers in United Flight 93, revolt against the 911 terrorists and drive the plane away from their intended target?
Will I do what the 22-year-old Park Ji Young did in the Sewol ferry disaster, refusing to leave the sinking ship as long as there is a passenger onboard?
Or will I just run and flee, and maybe regret for the rest of my life for not doing more to save my fellow humans from dying in vain?
I read reports of the Las Vegas shooting and think about love.
The lack of love that make a person think it is okay to take away the life of another human being.
Leaving behind orphans, broken families, shattered hearts and bloodied bodies.
Few nights ago, a client was lamenting to me.
She couldn't understand why life was happening so badly for her, in her marriage and career.
She was aware of her bad temper but other than that, she didn't think she was that bad a person to deserve such a destiny.
I asked her:
A mother who can murder an innocent child, and have not done any great compensation or repentance for her aborted baby, after 20 years.
Despite me telling her the sins of abortion early this year.
How can a person like this have a good heart?
Just saying that you didn't feel good is not sufficient when you make a deliberate decision to kill.
It's lame.
In the mortal world, murder calls for either lifetime imprisonment or death penalty.
That's just the mortal world.
In the netherworld, when your baby goes screaming and crying to the King of Hades, you pay for your sin with your destiny.
She said I was very blunt to make her understand.
I replied that she has been living in a cloak of self deceit.
Sure I can talk nicely to you, if making money from you is what I care more than your karmic debts.
But I do not see my clients as my ATM machines.
When the notion of self-benefit is non-existent, it is easier to speak the honest truth.
After all, you come to me to change your destiny, not to hear sweet nothings.
Many women aborting doesn't justify it to be a normal or harmless thing to do.
Many people killing senselessly and selfishly doesn't make it right.
It's not easy to be reborn as a human.
In the six realms of reincarnation, the human realm is the most precious as it is most conducive for cultivation towards Buddhahood.
If my memory serves me right, once in a conversation with his disciple, Buddha remarked that the number of sentient beings in this Samsara world is as vast as the number of sand grains in a desert.
With His bare hand, He picked up a handful of sand from the ground.
And said, but the number of people who get to be reborn as humans are only as little as the amount of sand grains in His hand.
Even that little amount is slowly slipping through his fingers as He spoke.
It's even harder to be born as a healthy human who gets a decent education and comprehends what I am writing here.
I like what James Altucher inferred about life: Life is not something given or taken at a whim.
Nobody has the right to take away another person's life.
During CNY this year, Shifu did a Learning Session telling us his world analysis. Which countries we should avoid Travelling to and how there will be many fires around the world, particularly in which countries, that includes bombing and shooting.
I hope the attendees took it to heart.
My Grandmaster, Living Buddha Lian-Sheng has summed the world outlook with a Chinese character "亂" (Messy).
PM Lee has said it's not a matter of whether, but when, a terriost attack may launch in Singapore.
There is darkness in every one of us.
We all had bad thoughts that we never utter.
We all had ugly acts that we don't want others to know about.
But I believe succumbing to darkness never make anyone happy permanently.
In my unhappiest and darkest days, I still hope that someone out there will be happier than me, living a life more fulfilled than mine.
It is so painful that I hope nobody has to go through what I went through.
That is why I take time to write.
While the eventual goal of learning the Dharma is to become a Buddha, there are many ways to start off in a less lofty manner for the uninitiated.
One way would be not to harm others with your words, intent and actions.
That is why our precepts tell us not to kill, not to take what doesn't belong to you, not to deceive, not to engage in sexual misconduct and not to consume intoxicants.
On the surface, it seems we are doing it for ourselves, not wanting more bad karma.
Fact is, we are learning how not to hurt other sentient beings, how to love and live life in a wholesome and meaningful way.
I don't think such thinking is exclusive to Buddhists.
It should be the cornerstone of any human being.
I am an advocate that the good will always triumph over evil.
I always affirm that the Light will prevail over Darkness.
Before we start pointing our fingers at the attackers, let's take an insightful look into ourselves.
Are we acting like a terrorist to our loved ones?
Killing off their happiness and meaning to living by cheating on them or treating them like dirt?
Or killing innocent children we call our flesh and blood?
Are we killing ourselves by living irresponsibly, letting our desires rule over our humanity and never contributing to others?
It is ridiculous to ask love from others when we don't have the capability to love well.
If we have failed before, it is never too late to repent.
This Mid-Autumn Festival, I wish for you to have a heart like the full moon, radiant and bright, dispelling the gloomy clouds of greed, ignorance and hatred.
And wherever or whoever you may be, please be well, kind and happy.
For the ones who died too soon, may you be reborn in a better realm.
往生淨土,超生出苦,
南無阿彌陀佛,
南無阿彌陀佛,
南無阿彌陀佛。
run up debts 在 正確寫英文run up 積欠... - Facebook 的推薦與評價
正確寫英文run up 積欠他積欠大約二十萬元的信用卡債款。 He ran up about NT$200000 in credit-card debt. ... <看更多>