Michael Burry VS Cathie Wood到底是一場什麼對決?
https://www.patreon.com/posts/michael-burry-vs-55037318
//我相信如果大家有投資開美股,呢單野大家都冇可能冇留意了!其實如果一個基金經理挑機,係唔會有咁多人留意,之所以呢單野咁爆,都係因為2位都係充滿戲劇性既人物,一個係電影《The Big Short》原型角色,2008年成功從基本因素發現次按危機問題,早所有人一步沽空賺大錢既金融海嘯大贏家Michael Burry。一個係「連登契媽」,呢2年做藉住科技股大升而造出ETF基金中史無前例既升幅,真係升到阿媽都唔認得既科技ETF女股神Cathie Wood。兩大巨星今次叫做係市場上對決,必定係好睇過電影。
其實唔止Michael Burry今次建倉做淡ARKK,早前Tuttle Capital都入紙申請發行一隻ARK反向ETF,目的是與ARK對賭。而Burry旗下既Scion Asset Management建倉做淡Cathie Wood旗下ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK),持有其看跌期權23.55萬股,市值將近3,100萬美元。市場永遠唔會意氣用事,基金經理係非常理性,找到問題就主動出擊!到底,喜歡做基本面分析既Michael Burry發現到乜野?呢場對決,到底係賭緊d乜野呢?//
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為什麼我喜歡儲股票而非短炒股票?
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scion capital 在 MacroMicro 財經M平方 Facebook 的精選貼文
【Q2 13F持倉報告 新鮮出爐!】#大戶在做什麼 #歡迎分享
🔗 13F專區:https://pse.is/3jwrxy
20 間市場關注的避險基金、投資機構之持倉資料都已經更新在M平方 13F 觀測站!以下我們整理出三大機構操作趨勢:
▍Q2 機構加碼板塊不再集中價值族群,科技類股重獲機構資金挹注
相較今年 Q1 主要機構增持能源、工業、原材料、消費等週期性類股板塊,Q2 加碼趨勢相對分散。
大型科技類股仍是多間機構加碼標的,尤其是 Q2 科技巨頭中漲幅僅次谷歌的臉書(FB),加碼機構包括 Scion Asset Management、Baupost、杜肯家族辦公室
加密貨幣交易所 Coinbase(COIN)、機器人流程自動化 RPA 平台開發商 UiPath(Path)、以色列遊戲廣告平台 IronSource(IS)等 Q2 上市股則成為 ARK、環球老虎基金、Baupost 等機構的共同新建倉位
▍中國監管風暴不斷,哪些經理人出脫中概股、誰又在逆勢加碼?
橋水減倉中國ETF(FXI、MCHI)、轉而加碼新興市場ETF(VWO、EEM、IEMG)
索羅斯基金出清今年 3月因 Archegos Capital 爆倉事件而股價重挫的百度(BIDU)、唯品會(VIPS)、愛奇藝(IQ)等中概股
環球老虎基金也降持線上教育概念股的好未來(TAL)、新東方(EDU)
中國私募基金龍頭的高瓴資本,連兩季減持拼多多(PDD)與京東(JD),但是 Q2 大量敲進唯品會(VIPS)、名創優品(MNSO)、阿里巴巴(BABA)等消費性股,前兩者持倉量成長 17 倍之多
▍價投大師 Howard Marks、Michael Burry,做空女股神 Cathie Woods 的 ARK?
Scion Asset Management的經理人、電影「大賣空」的真實主角 — Michael Burry 在今年 Q1 就重壓特斯拉的 Put(看空期權),最新一季度追加方舟投資底下旗艦型基金 — ARK新興主動型ETF(ARKK)的 Put,佔整體投組比例約 1.5%
先前被我們戲稱為「西方航海王」、Q1 航運持股近一成的橡樹資本,也在 Q2 買入 ARKK、ARKW 的 Put,佔整體投組比例約 0.6%
🔗 13F專區:https://pse.is/3jwrxy
scion capital 在 Eric's English Lounge Facebook 的精選貼文
There’s rhythm in writing! 🎶
這個禮拜Presentality的Andrew來分享英文寫作的節奏!
★★★★★★★★★★★★
我的工作需要看非常多的英文。
其中有英文母語的人寫的,也有非母語的人寫的。最近,我注意到一個兩者之間很明顯的差別。這個差別很少有人提到,因為它無關文法正確,也不是有學問的用語,或是文雅的詞彙。
是句子的長短。
Well,更正確的來說,是長句跟短句的交錯。我發現,非母語人士寫的英文句子,不但比英文母語的人寫的長,而且是大部分句子都很長。
母語的人,尤其是很會寫的人,則是會把長句跟短句混合搭配。
那又怎樣?
★★★★★★★★★★★★
你可能會說 ok,以英文為母語的人比較會用短的句子,那又怎樣?句子的長短,跟我寫作的好壞,有關嗎?
關係可大了。
就像音樂,或是影片,文字也是「內容」。只要是「內容」,就有它的節奏。你可以想像一首曲子,從頭到尾都是很長的音,而且一點變化都沒有嗎?或是一部很長的影片,從頭到尾都是很長的畫面,而且一點節奏的變化都沒有嗎?
Well actually,你應該可以想像,這些就是要幫助我們睡眠的。
如果你不想要你的讀者覺得無聊或甚至睡著,我建議適度變換你文字的節奏。
但我們先看案例。
我拿一篇台灣人寫的文,跟另一篇美國人寫的,來做比較:把每個句子都分拆成不同的段落,句子的長短就一目了然了。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
但我們先看案例。
我拿一篇台灣人寫的文,跟另一篇美國人寫的,來做比較:把每個句子都分拆成不同的段落,句子的長短就一目了然了。
📌 台灣案例:Taipei Times Opinion
1. The TAIEX last month rose above 17,000 points as rallies in steel, shipping and some non-tech stocks offset a weakness in semiconductor and electronics stocks.
2. While news about a cluster of local COVID-19 infections connected with China Airlines cargo pilots and a hotel in Taoyuan fueled selling pressure early this month and pushed the local stock market into consolidation mode, the daily market turnover in the first two trading sessions of this month hit fresh highs.
3. Moreover, Taiwan’s stock trading volume last month began to surpass that of Hong Kong for the first time in 15 years, which was beyond most market participants’ expectations.
4. Taiwan’s daily market turnover exceeding Hong Kong’s might gradually become a new normal from this year, and there are good reasons for this.
5. First, Hong Kong’s stock market has lost its appeal to foreign investors since China last year imposed national security legislation on the territory, triggering a potential flight of capital and talent.
6. Second, many wealthy Taiwanese tend to park their overseas funds in Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Switzerland and the US, but government statistics showed that more than 80 percent of funds repatriated by wealthy individuals last year were from Hong Kong, as they saw the political situation in the territory worsen after its self-governance, human rights and freedom of speech were further suppressed.
7. Third, China’s new NASDAQ-style stock board — the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR board — has emerged as a fast-growing capital markets center for Chinese companies at a time when rising China-US tensions have triggered concerns about their prospects of listing in New York, posing a growing challenge to the Hong Kong stock exchange.
8. On the other hand, Taiwan’s economic fundamentals, the central bank’s adoption of extraordinary monetary easing and the government’s fiscal policies have fueled continued rallies in the nation’s stock market since last year.
9. It might be too early to tell how long the consolidation trend might last, as a resurgent COVID-19 outbreak is coloring the global economic outlook, but some insight can be drawn from the stock market:
10. Taiwan’s GDP grew a larger-than-expected 8.16 percent in the first quarter, as exports and private investment remained healthy.
都是一堆很長的句子對不對?我們來看美國人寫的句子,也是一個主流媒體的 opinion 文。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
📌 美國案例:New York Times Opinion
1. I miss torturing Liz Cheney.
2. But it must be said that the petite blonde from Wyoming suddenly seems like a Valkyrie amid halflings.
3. She is willing to sacrifice her leadership post — and risk her political career — to continue calling out Donald Trump’s Big Lie.
4. She has decided that, if the price of her job is being as unctuous to Trump as Kevin McCarthy is, it isn’t worth it, because McCarthy is totally disgracing himself.
5. It has been a dizzying fall for the scion of one of the most powerful political families in the land, a conservative chip off the old block who was once talked about as a comer, someone who could be the first woman president.
6. How naïve I was to think that Republicans would be eager to change the channel after Trump cost them the Senate and the White House and unleashed a mob on them.
7. I thought the Donald would evaporate in a poof of orange smoke, ending a supremely screwed-up period of history.
8. But the loudest mouth is not shutting up.
9. And Republicans continue to listen, clinging to the idea that the dinosaur is the future.
10. “We can’t grow without him,” Lindsey Graham said.
📌 Note: 即使是比較長的句子,這位作者也會用標點符號拆散它:She is willing to sacrifice her leadership post — and risk her political career — to continue calling out Donald Trump’s Big Lie. 這就好比用句點一樣,讓我們讀起來有點停頓休息的時間。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
📌 注意到了嗎?
台灣人寫的英文,句子都偏長,而且長度都差不多。
美國人寫的就不一樣了:一個只有五個字的句子開頭,然後一堆稍微長一點的句子,然後再來一串短句。
你可能懷疑我故意挑選很極端了例子出來,而且幹嘛專門打台灣人呢?
所以想到這裡,我從我的書架上,隨便挑了兩本跟科技有關的書出來。左邊的,是美國人,矽谷知名投資人 Peter Thiel。右邊的是德國人,但注意了,是一個英文非常好的德國人。他不但是世界經濟論壇的創辦人,研究所也是在哈佛大學唸的。
★★★★★★★★★★★★
📌 兩本書 Introduction 是怎麼寫的?
Klaus Schwab (德國):
Of the many diverse and fascinating challenges we face today, the most intense and important is how to understand and shape the new technology revolution, which entails nothing less than a transformation of humankind.
We are at the beginning of a revolution that is fundamentally changing the way we live, work, and relate to one another.
In its scale, scope and complexity, what I consider to be the fourth industrial revolution is unlike anything humankind has experienced before.
Peter Thiel (美國):
Whenever I interview someone for a job, I like to ask this question: "What important truth do very few people agree with you on?"
The question sounds easy because it's straightforward.
Actually, it's very hard to answer.
It's intellectually difficult because the knowledge that everyone is taught in school is by definition agreed upon.
See the difference?
★★★★★★★★★★★★
📌 如何變換節奏呢?
需要Andrew的完整分享請留言「There’s rhythm in writing~」。
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