Part of a chat with my friend:
“....What I am worrying about is the economic damages caused by the pandemic and governmental shutdown could be worsen by these riots. Both of these can make the insurance company loss a lot recently. By the estimate of the Financial Times, the number could be up to at least $200 bn.
I’ve written another article talking about that the most US insurance companies hold a lot of CLOs (Collateralized Loan Obligation) which are too dangerous for them. But for the past decade, Fed has executed its policy to drive the market interest rate very low, which make most insurance companies or wealth management funds to take higher risk for returns. The pandemic and shutdown have caused the return rate of CLOs climbed, which means decrease of the value of the assets held by these companies. On the other hand, the damages of the retails and other businesses could increase insurer’s payments in claims. Decreasing in assets and increasing in payments, in a worst-case scenario, could brew a massive bankruptcy of insurance companies and lead to another financial crisis, just like what had happened in 2008 cause by collapses of CDOs.
you may read the other article at
https://bit.ly/3dxqMKI
BTW, thanks for your kind invitation and we definitely will visit you and your husband in Boston.“
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2008 financial crisis cause 在 貓的成長美股異想世界 Facebook 的最佳解答
很久沒貼股市文了(在跟會計纏鬥中....... 不過快結束了yeah!), 但是這篇我建議大家看一下.
這是重點(謝謝股友幫忙畫重點):
Cramer:"If the Fed doesn't reverse course like it did in '98, then we could continue along ... a 1987 road, especially if the president keeps slapping tariffs on the Chinese."
台灣時間周三凌晨有Facebook季報, 週五凌晨有Apple季報, 週五晚間有非農. 這些日子很關鍵. 供參.
Lesson✍️:大型股如FB, AMZN, AAPL....都是投資人的信心指標. 所以要注意這些大型股vs.大盤的表現.