Wan Chin: President Trump finally did it right. He postponed the time for first-round trade agreement with General Secretary Xi to time after next November, after the presidential election 2020.
A successful move, finally. As I summarized before in my fb post, Trump takes away Xi's US$ reserve and Xi retaliates by taking away Trump's time of his first term of office. That's all about the USA-China chess game. So simple and yet so risky.
The problem is: why Trump allow Xi to take away Trump's time? It's a matter of relative velocity in physics. And Trump made a big big mistake in dealing with Communist China. If Trump didn't re-think his tactics, he will end up reaping a poor and shattering China, which he tried with all means to avoid at the very beginning. Now comes the simple high school physics, just an analogy of course:
1. Trump used a strategy of accelerating and adding up the tariffs on imported goods from China. And Xi wastes Trump's time by raising fake retaliating tariffs and a fake war on human rights and rule of law in Hong Kong. Xi knows too well that Trump's acceleration has a limit because Trump wants to reap a still rich and peaceful China, not a China shattered. So when Trump slowed down with tariffs, Xi speeds up with his fake war in Hong Kong, urging USA to pass a human rights bill prematurely to steal Trump's time. Distractions and shadow boxing, aided by the US traitors in HK, the Pan-Democrats, which are co-nurtured by Clinton/Obama and the communists. You can't win a war when your delegate in Hong Kong are betraying you and spying on you, President Trump.
2. What mis-calculation has Trump made? I would say mistake, or even gross blunder. Trump should do it the other way round: he should have increased all tariffs rocket-high and given Xi a shock therapy and taken away Xi's US$ and reaction time altogether. He shouldn't have given Xi time to adjust to the slowly increasing tariffs over two years!
Experts in the White House and China-watchers in US think-tanks may not know this Taoist tactic: Seek life in death. Trump can only take China live by daring to push her to death. The Soviet empire was made dead by President Reagon's shock therapy and Star War scheme, not by the fine calculus of slowly increased tariffs.
Trump is a kind man. Xi will thank kind man Trump for saving Xi's office in exchange of Trump's.
(I will further explain this in my private salon talk this evening in Hong Kong.)
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:(
Wan Chin: The HK Human Rights Act was passed in the Senate today, marking the second round of USA-China confrontation. The China-American cold war will last for decades and America may not have the tact and patience to play the chess-game with the commies. Please watch out, my dear President Trump. You may stumble and fall in shame.
1. Trump's strategy laid bare: Trump starts the game. President Trump is squeezing China's US$ reserve, while General Secretary Xi is squeezing America's time for a trade deal. Trump adds the tariffs, cuts China's US$ intake and urged China to buy 50 billions US$ farm goods per year. Creating a US$ vacuum in China and forces China to let US banks, finance companies to run free business in China.
Trump shall win in the first round, and China may win in the second round. Trump may sit there for another term and suffer his mistakes he makes in his first term. Ending up leaving the White House in shame.
2. China's reaction under cover: shadows, breakouts and distractions. The Chinese communists got their power in the Sino-Japanese war in the 1930's and they managed to survive under the USA-supported Kuomintang armies. The communists broke into small units and broke out from the siege of the KMT. Now the real game comes.
A. First, shadows. While being chased and about to be captured, the Chinese commies are good at changing the speed, going here and there, and breaking the promise every time before the agreement comes. The G20 summit in Osaka is the first time, the (cancelled) APEC in Chile is the second time. When all papers are prepared, Xi suddenly steps back and tear the agreement. He is a dictator. Trump is democratically elected. He suffers when he bragged about the coming deal, his election promise and God knows why he honours it, and suddenly went to bubbles. So Trump will give in. The first deal wasted Trump's half of his term of office. The second deal will probably ruin the remaining time of his term.
B. Breakouts and Distractions. The fake war (pl. refer to my former fb post) staged by the Pan-Democrats in the university campuses to entice police to storm and beat and torture and rape students drew the Senators' attention and tears. The tear gas in HK worked in Washington. The HK Human Rights Act is hastened to be passed, 4 months before the scheduled time, squeezing out Trumps time to deal with Xi. Trump seems to succumb to China but cutting tariffs or dropping all the tariffs, disarming himself against China to desperately get the preliminary trade agreement. China used the worsened human rights conditions and public order and distraction to waste Trump's time.
The commies in China are no fools. They are ultimate survivors. How should Trump react? I talk about this in my private Salon speech and proposed a Trump cocktail therapy against the Chinese AIDS. Details withhold. The President would know by just reading the recipe's name I wrote here. Trump is the most intelligent and determined politician after Reagan. Super IQ and leadership. The problem is, Trump's Gorbachev is missing in China. He has to make one.
chess term 在 Brett 林熙老師 Facebook 的最讚貼文
You are NOT your last SAT score!
SAT Words of Advice.
I’ve noticed a destructive mindset that many students seem to share: they strongly feel that they are defined by their last test scores.
Often, a new student will tell me that they took a test like the SAT or ACT (sometimes without preparation) and that they received a certain score. Then they say, “I guess that’s just my level.” They allow a test score to limit their potential. This is a serious mistake. There is no such thing as a “1200-student,” a “1300-student,” or even a “1450-student.” With more practice, and especially more thought and analysis of past mistakes, students can always improve their scores.
What’s worse is the kind of student who has done well on a previous test but would like to do even better on a future test. Sometimes, these students care so deeply about the upcoming score that they often sabotage their own success. For instance, if they do poorly on a practice exam, they seem to believe that they’re getting worse. That negative feeling can cause them to perform even worse on their next mock exam, which creates a self-perpetuating cycle. As a teacher, it is easy for me to see their true potential, but potential is not enough. The “inner game” is even more important that true ability.
We use the term “inner game” in sport. I’m sure everybody who has played sports (or chess or any other game) has had the following experience: there is a rival team or player that always beats you. Then, one day, you forget yourself and before you realize it, you’re winning. Then you notice, and your conscious mind says, “Wait! I NEVER win against this opponent!” As soon as you have this inner dialog, you start to fumble and miss easy shots. The end result is that you lose.
Now, did you really lose because the other player or team was better than you? No. Your brain gave your subconscious mind a direct command: “I never beat them!” Naturally, your subconscious mind complies and causes you to lose.
The same is true for test takers. If you deeply believe that you are limited or that you’re getting worse, you won’t be able to tap your true potential. Remember: it’s physically impossible to get worse from doing practice tests. You can only get better. So, make sure you don’t brainwash yourself into believing that you’re getting worse.
Remain positive - it’s one of the keys to high performance. If you have been diligent in your practice, you CAN do better.
I hope everybody does well on the upcoming SAT test.
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