今天, 應該是最炫最酷的一家公司, Robinhood, 上市的一天. 它獲利了嗎? 我想沒有多少投資人會care. 最關心的, 應該是它的營收成長率, 還有股價.
在我們一直追逐科技成長股, 被他們的高營收成長率, 潛在的高報酬昏眩的時候, 會不會忘記他們醜得要命的財務報表?
而在今年, 大家追逐的這些趨勢股表現不佳的時候, 是不是也給了我們一些省思?
其實美股中, 還有很多財務報表漂亮, 但聽起來一點也不有趣(甚至很無聊)的公司, 但他們股價穩定, 長期下來, 也給了投資人很大的回報. 像之前介紹過的POOL, 過去幾年也是平均一年翻一倍的漲幅.
而在IPO中, 也有這類的好公司.
Carrier Global(CARR), 2020年4月上市的IPO, 算是工業類股, 漲了快5倍. 有在獲利. (開利冷氣應該有聽過?就是這家公司)
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), 民生消費股, 也有獲利, 2020年10月上市的IPO, 目前也漲了3倍.
下面這篇文章挺好. 與大家分享. 就像文章作者所提的, 龜兔賽跑, 穩(漲)的烏龜, 不一定會輸.
也祝福大家找到&培養自己的能力圈, 穩穩獲利.
Jim Cramer: The Biggest Thing That Happened Thursday Was the Boring Stuff
No, it wasn't Robinhood or the mega-cap tech companies, it was names we depend on like Carrier Global.
By JIM CRAMER Jul 29, 2021 | 03:38 PM EDT
Stocks quotes in this article: HOOD, FB, PYPL, CARR, RTX, NUE, AGCO, ZM, ALGN, AAPL, EBAY, AMD, XLNX
One of the most glorious things I have seen involving the stock market in ages happened today.
Was it Vlad Tenev ringing the opening bell for his breakthrough, disruptive Robinhood (HOOD) , representing 22 million mostly young new investors? Was it the free-for-all decline in the stock of the "F" in FAANG, Facebook (FB) ? Or the clobbering that Paypal (PYPL) took after what looked to be a good quarter?
Nah. I was bumping into Dave Gitlin, CEO of Carrier Global (CARR) , and his charming daughter, a college student at the University of Wisconsin. They were calmly waiting for me to finish "Squawk on the Street" to say, "Hi," and I couldn't be more thrilled. Because unlike the much ballyhooed Robinhood deal, which seems like a bust, Carrier Global came public back in April 2020 at $12 and today, after tremendous earnings, not sales, but earnings, it made an all-time high at $53, after reporting a terrific number with tremendous HVAC sales, up 31%, and an earnings surprise of 55 cents vs. the 30 cents that Wall Street was expecting.
Carrier, which was spun off when United Technologies merged with Raytheon (RTX) had some tailwinds, like the need to have clean air inside, because of the pandemic and clear air outside because office buildings are responsible for 40% of carbon emissions. But the huge upside surprise and the gigantic buyback belonged to Dave and his team and I that's what I told his daughter. I made sure she knew how proud she should be about how this man made so much money for people. Twelve to 53 in 15 months time is the name of the game.
Look, I am not trying to take away from anything that Robinhood and its co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev have created. Far from it. They have created billions for themselves and are now letting people participate in their great sales growth. You got a chance to pay a fortune per share and many Robinhoodies did, as tons of stock was allocated to the 22 million people who joined Robinhood, because of a bang up app that every young person seems to know.
I am simply saying that HVAC, yep heating, ventilation and air conditioning is one of the most boring businesses on earth and at times like today, with all of the hoopla of Robinhood it is easy to forget is how lots of money can be made being boring, and I like that. The most exciting thing that happened this year is Carrier helped provide refrigeration for vaccines. That's just fine with me.
Unlike Robinhood, Carrier hasn't brought anyone into the stock market. It's more laser-like focus on air conditioning once spun off from Raytheon means nothing to people. Just Wall Street gibberish. But you have probably walked by a Carrier machine thousands of times and never thought anything of it. Yet, you could have bought it for a song at six times earnings instead of 25 times sales.
The Carriers, with CEOs who pay themselves lavishly but perhaps not excessively, or the Nucor's (NUE) the steel company that's also well managed and sells at six times earnings, represent valuable properties, especially when the U.S. government is about to agree on a trillion dollar infrastructure bill and the country has more than 6% GDP. We don't know why they are re-opening trades or closing trades, delta-variant trades or building and bridge investments. Forgive me, though for comparing the company of Robinhood, with something that may stay special for a while vs. companies that get described as venerable, solid and built to last.
These companies are not rarities. You know people have to eat, right? You know that there would be famine without farming. So why not buy the stock of Agco (AGCO) , No. 2 farm equipment, which went from $40 to $130 in a year and a half without ever being expensive. Combines too boring? Again fine with me. Now that the masks are off -- or at least in some places, although Zoom (ZM) is still crushing it -- I, like many others, including my daughter, didn't like how her teeth looked even as, to me, they were perfect. Dentists tell you to get Align (ALGN) . I wanted them on "Mad Money" but the show was just too darned jammed. The stock's up the most in the S&P 500, with a product that, again, like the Purloined Letter, is right in front of you.
I love tech. Created the term FANG, added the "A" when it was clear that Apple (AAPL) had to take the acronymic stage between another "A" and an "N." I am proud that those who bet against me on Twitter, the legion, are betting against FAANG. I wrote obituaries for a goodly time in my career as a reporter but I never wrote as many as have been penned to talk about the group has already made the ultimate measure on behalf of shareholders.
Oh and it's not like I don't like tech or fin tech. I felt the slings and arrows of Facebook and PayPal today. Facebook's management once again lowered the boom on its future talking about real deceleration in growth. I thought it was too dire. PayPal's Dan Schulman talked about how the separation with its former partner, eBay (EBAY) gets done now and earnings will be hurt. This was one of the least revelatory surprises ever. I think both are practicing UPOD, Underpromising to Overdeliver, and, sure this time might be different, but it's sure been the way they have handled it in the past.
Far better to be in the straight out blow outs like Advance Micro (AMD) which had still one more banner day, this time because the company it is buying, the dowdy Xilinx (XLNX) , a sleepy semiconductor company, had tremendous earnings. The two together could be unassailable and even as AMD is now richly valued it is deservingly so.
I can't wait to hear Vlad Tenev's reflection on Robinhood's debut as a public company and about the novel offering that gave millions of shares to his clients. Vlad's not so much a rags to riches American story. He's a poor Bulgarian to insanely rich American because of his on ingenuity. That's a story with celebrating in itself.
I am simply pointing out that unlike Vlad, whom you would have had invested with when you weren't allowed or able to, Dave Gitlin sure didn't keep you out of the better bet, the stock of HVAC king Carrier.
You did.
同時也有7部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過15萬的網紅豐富,也在其Youtube影片中提到,主持人:陳鳳馨 來賓:PG財經筆記版主 蔡至誠〈阿爾發投顧財務顧問部經理〉 主題:今周刊出版《投資心理戰:行為金融專家教你看透群眾心理偏誤,掌握獲利勝機》 節目時間:週一至週五 07:00-09:00am 本集播出日期:2021.04.30 #News98 #陳鳳馨 #行爲金融學...
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主持人:陳鳳馨
來賓:PG財經筆記版主 蔡至誠〈阿爾發投顧財務顧問部經理〉
主題:今周刊出版《投資心理戰:行為金融專家教你看透群眾心理偏誤,掌握獲利勝機》
節目時間:週一至週五 07:00-09:00am
本集播出日期:2021.04.30
#News98 #陳鳳馨 #行爲金融學
#收藏好書:今周刊出版《投資心理戰:行為金融專家教你看透群眾心理偏誤,掌握獲利勝機》https://bit.ly/2Phb5R6
行為金融起源於一個簡單的信念──在現實生活中,投資人並不理性。
心理學家已經證明,人類決策過程中包含多個導致思考偏誤的特徵。
《投資心理戰》教你精準判讀人性與金融市場,避開賠錢股,提高交易勝率!
傳統金融理論假定市場參與者們完全理性,然而很多投資人在面對市場訊息時,不是反應過度,就是反應不足。
在投資中,比其他人更懂得如何避免犯錯,與如何取得成功同樣重要,甚至更重要。
心理偏誤確實會影響人們對股價的判斷,因此投資大眾應善用行為金融理論,擬定更優質的財務計畫。
◤投資人不僅會犯錯,還會以某種可預測的方式犯錯◢
現實金融世界中有許多事件,根本無法透過「效率市場」觀點解釋。
股票並非以其實際價值交易,而是以投資人認為的價值。
《投資心理戰》引用廣泛的心理學領域研究,指出投資人經常會出現的各種非理性行為:
#過度自信與樂觀──人們呈現「過度自信」傾向時,往往會交易得更頻繁。當換手率上升時,投資淨利也會下降。
#直觀偏誤──人們傾向使用另一件非常相似的事物來評估當下狀況,卻忽視機率的存在。投資人常會陷入將一間好公司,視為一檔好股票的錯誤思維。
#可得性偏誤──常見事件,比罕見事件更容易浮現腦海。實際上你對股票的選擇,更有可能是受到媒體,或甚至是某些看似可靠的消息來源所影響。
#模糊趨避──人們特別害怕涉入曖昧不明的情況。這導致投資人偏好自己熟悉的選項。
#框架依賴──事實上,所有人都受環境影響。如果只留意公司盈餘而不看現金流,將會有很高機率買到賠錢股。
#損失趨避──比起獲利,人們更厭惡損失。投資人往往會繼續持有賠錢股,並樂於賣出賺錢股票。
#賭資效應──人們對風險的感知,會因先前的回報而有所改變。當市場表現良好,人們會傾向願意冒更大風險。
很多投資書都在講應該做什麼,但本書卻要告訴我們──「不能」做什麼。基於多年業界經驗,國際上備受敬重的行為金融專家詹姆斯.蒙蒂爾,提出數種協助投資人不受行為偏誤與心理缺陷而左右交易決策的關鍵方法,以及妥善應用行為金融學說,幫助投資人:釐清投資風格輪動的重要性、如何評估一支股票、如何建構投資組合、如何做好資產配置,以及公司理財與投資之間的關係等重要議題。
在影響市場方面,心理因素就跟企業的財務報表一樣重要。
想從市場中賺錢,就必須理解大眾。
這不僅能讓身為投資人的你避免虧損,更可幫助你有效利用市場的不理性穩穩獲利。
📣 更多 #財經起床號 專題影音:https://bit.ly/2QvBR55
🔍 馨天地
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apple財務報表 在 豐富 Youtube 的最讚貼文
主持人:大亞創業投資股份有限公司執行合夥人 郝旭烈
節目主題:好懂秒懂的財務思維課|怎麼省?怎麼花?怎麼賺?
節目時間:週一至週五 23:00
本集節目播出日期:2020.11.24
#News98 #財務基礎必修課 #生活理財投資判斷
#收藏好書《郝旭烈|好懂秒懂的財務思維課》三采文化出版 https://bit.ly/3eGXOsx
給你一把輕鬆打開財務領域殿堂的寶貴鑰匙
懂得用財報邏輯思考,才能真正有效的管理資源!
前台積電財務高階主管、培訓 10,000 人以上的企業王牌財務講師,變身專屬財務顧問,教你解讀數字背後意義,讓你從理財投資到企業經營,精準判斷 #怎麼省、#怎麼花、#怎麼賺!
財報不能只有老闆知道!「財務管理」就是資源管理,是幫你生活越來越好的工具,與工作、人生密不可分。
學會財務思維,讓你:
工作更有數字力,加分!
為公司賺錢更有效率、創造價值,升官!
投資更精準,賺大錢!
不只看懂報表,更做出對的決定!
主持人經歷圖片取自:
個人投資、企業經營都必學!一支影片看懂三大財務報表!郝旭烈《好懂秒懂的財務思維課》https://youtu.be/ZkEHlT6qP8s
-----
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apple財務報表 在 豐富 Youtube 的最佳解答
主持人:大亞創業投資股份有限公司執行合夥人 郝旭烈
節目主題:好懂秒懂的財務思維課|生存賺錢 3 關鍵
節目時間:週一至週五 23:00
本集節目播出日期:2020.11.17
#News98 #財務基礎必修課 #生活理財投資判斷
#收藏好書《郝旭烈|好懂秒懂的財務思維課》三采文化出版 https://bit.ly/3eGXOsx
給你一把輕鬆打開財務領域殿堂的寶貴鑰匙
懂得用財報邏輯思考,才能真正有效的管理資源!
前台積電財務高階主管、培訓 10,000 人以上的企業王牌財務講師,變身專屬財務顧問,教你解讀數字背後意義,讓你從理財投資到企業經營,精準判斷 #怎麼省、#怎麼花、#怎麼賺!
財報不能只有老闆知道!「財務管理」就是資源管理,是幫你生活越來越好的工具,與工作、人生密不可分。
學會財務思維,讓你:
工作更有數字力,加分!
為公司賺錢更有效率、創造價值,升官!
投資更精準,賺大錢!
不只看懂報表,更做出對的決定!
主持人經歷圖片取自:
個人投資、企業經營都必學!一支影片看懂三大財務報表!郝旭烈《好懂秒懂的財務思維課》https://youtu.be/ZkEHlT6qP8s
-----
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