In my essay in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs, I emphasised the vital importance of US-China relations, and its impact on Asia’s security and prosperity. Most Asian economies are linked to both countries and many, including Singapore, do not want to be forced to choose between the two.
The strategic choices that the US and China make will shape the contours of the emerging global order. It is natural for big powers to compete. But it is their capacity for cooperation that is the true test of statecraft. This will determine whether humanity makes progress on global problems such as climate change, nuclear proliferation, and the spread of infectious diseases.
The COVID-19 pandemic is a stark reminder of why countries must work together. Diseases do not respect national borders, and international cooperation is desperately needed to bring the pandemic under control and reduce damage to the global economy. Even with the best relations between the United States and China, mounting a collective response to COVID-19 would be hugely challenging.
Meanwhile Asian countries have their hands full, coping with the pandemic and the many other obstacles to improving the lives of their citizens and creating a more secure and prosperous region. Their success — and prospects for an Asian century — hinges on whether the US and China can overcome their differences, build mutual trust, and work constructively to uphold a stable and peaceful international order. This is a fundamental issue of our time. – LHL
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