【After Winning Majority in LegCo: Beijing's Crackdown May Trigger International Intervention】
***感謝Hong Kong Columns - Translated,將我早前撰寫『議會過半想像:以「#國際攬炒」反制「臨立會2.0」』長文(https://www.facebook.com/joshuawongchifung/photos/a.313299448762570/2887650867994069/)翻譯成英文,鼓勵國際社會關注立會選舉一旦過半的沙盤推演,在最惡劣形勢下的制衡策略。***
中文精簡版本:https://www.facebook.com/joshuawongchifung/photos/a.564294826996363/2888641404561682/
Hongkongers have experienced our revolution for over half a year. They no longer take a consequentialist view to the effectiveness of their movement as they did years ago, or waste time second-guessing the intentions and background of fellow activists. Following the defensive battles at CUHK and PolyU, November’s District Council election saw a great victory of unity. More marvellous is the union between peaceful and “valiant” protesters.
In the process of resisting tyranny, the people have realised that one cannot prioritize one strategy over another. This is also how the common goal of “35+” came into being—the hope that we will win over half of the seats in the Legislative Council (LegCo) this September, such that the political spectrum that represents the majority of Hongkongers is able to gain control of legislative decisions. The political clout of Hongkongers will increase if 35 or more seats are successfully secured on our side. It is certainly one vital step to achieve the five demands within the system.
The possibility of realizing legislative majority
Technically it is not unrealistic to win a majority even under the current undemocratic system. Back in the 2016 LegCo election, we already won 30 seats. In addition to the District Council (First) functional constituency seat that is already in the pocket of the pan-democrats, as long as the candidates in Kowloon East and New Territories West do not start infighting again, we could safely secure 33 seats based on the number of pan-dem votes in 2016.
The other 3 seats required to achieve a majority depend on democrats’ breakthrough among the functional constituencies by dispersing the resources of the Liaison Office. They also count on whether the turnout this September could exceed 71.2% — that of last year’s District Council elections. Some of the factors that could affect the turnout include: will the epidemic persist into the summer? Will there be potential violent repression of protests in the 2 weeks preceding the election? Will Hong Kong-US relations be affected by the downturn of the global economy?
Therefore, the ambition of “35+” is to be prioritised by the resistance as both a means and an end. I have already expressed my support for an intra-party primary at the coordination meeting. In the meantime, it is pleasing to see the ongoing debates reaching a consensus of maximising the seats among geographical constituencies in the upcoming election.
Whilst enthusiastic coordination, we should also assess the post-election landscape and gauge Beijing’s reactions: if we do not reach 35 seats, Hong Kong will be subject to tighter control and more severe repression by China; but if the democratic parties successfully form a majority in LegCo, CCP’s fears of a “constitutional crisis” would become imminent. Hence, the key questions are how the Pan-Democrats should deal with the volatile political situation in Hong Kong and how they are going to meet Beijing’s charge head-on.
Watching out for Beijing’s dismissal of LegCo after reaching majority
To take back control of LegCo such that it faithfully reflects the majority’s principles and needs is the definition of a healthy democracy. Recently, however, DAB’s Tam Yiu-chung has warned that the plan of the Pan-Dems to “usurp power” in the LegCo would only lead to Beijing’s forceful disqualification of certain members or the interpretation of the Basic Law. This proves that winning a majority in LegCo is not only a popular conception but also a realistic challenge that would get on the nerves of Beijing. Could Beijing accept a President James To in LegCo? These unknown variables must be addressed upon achieving a majority.
While there is no telltale sign as to Beijing’s exact strategy, we are already familiar with the way CCP manipulated the Basic Law in the past 4 years. Having experienced three waves of disqualifications in LegCo, twice kicked out of LegCo with my team, and thrice locked up in jail, I have no false hopes of an easy compromise from Beijing: they would not let Pan-Dems control LegCo for half a year and wait (as is the proper procedure) until after having negatived the Budget to dissolve the legislature, and thereby giving them an easy victory in the re-elections. The greater the Pan-Dems threaten Beijing’s rule in Hong Kong, the more likely that it will trigger Beijing’s repression.
Since the disqualification and arrest of lawmakers have already become “normalised”, one can even imagine the police stepping into the LegCo building to force Pan-Dems into voting. Neither is it beyond our imagination to expect the CCP to kick out all 70 lawmakers in a fit of rage and replace them with a provisional LegCo “2.0” [HKCT note: The first was from 25 Jan 1997 to 30 Jun 1998]. To depend on a majority that could lead to a chapter of a “new testament” for One Country, Two Systems is perhaps what many elites long for, but they are overly optimistic:for a ticket to the promised land will not be available at the Chief Executive election campaign a year and a half later.
Admittedly, the Pan-Dems cannot unilaterally initiate “Laam-chaau” [HKCT note: mostly translated into “scorched-earth” mentality or “mutual destruction”; some even translated into “If I burn, you burn with us”]. The most they can do is to force a standstill of the government, and not for long the LegCo will have been eliminated from the equation to make the wheels turn again. It all leaves the plan of “Negativing the motion → Dissolving LegCo → Re-election after re-election → the stepping down of Carrie Lam” merely as overly positive speculation, probably resulting from their overestimate of CCP's capacity for rational calculation. The Pan-Dems must guard their frontlines and recognise what the biggest threat from Hong Kong to China could be. In this case, should LegCo sessions be disrupted or suspended, the Pan-Dems would have to be well prepared to surmount the expected obstacles and prevent the disqualification crisis 4 years ago—a Catch-22 indeed.
Productive tension from global intervention: Using Laam-chaau against the CCP
What aggravates the CCP the most is the potential threat to Hong Kong’s unique status as the one and only “separate customs territory”. Any miscalculation will compromise its role as the Chinese economy’s “white gloves”. Imagine if CCP were to disqualify all 70 elected lawmakers and convene a meeting north of the Shenzhen River to pass a resolution to Hong Kong’s affairs (much like the Provisional Legislative Council “1.0" in 1997), how great will the shock be in a world with an effective Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act? However hard it is to predict the future one thing is certain: With the US presidential election just around the corner, blows to the separation of powers would not be tolerated, and the West would necessarily effect countermeasures against the Hong Kong government.
Beijing has been relying upon Hong Kong to navigate the international community for decades. While clamping down on the political freedom of the cosmopolitan city, Beijing desires to maintain the financial centre’s economic freedom. Hence, we started lobbying for the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act four years ago, and today we are determined to promote “Laam-chaau” on an international scale.
The will of the voters must be reflected in an election. If a “35+” legislature were to be dismissed and replaced, such flagrant violation of democracy would assuredly cause a greater backlash than the infamous extradition bill. Knowing what the reality ahead of us could be, we have to combine our election and international strategies to oppose the placement of a 35+ LegCo with an “Emergency Legislative Council 2.0”, to advance an international “Laam-chaau” to Hong Kong’s status as “separate customs territory”. Only then will we stand a chance to resist the regime and to realise the five demands.
Adjusting our mindset: Overcoming the “constitutional crisis” to reach a resolution
Upon the realization of the “35+” LegCo, it is expected that the CCP will launch a devastating counterattack. The Pan-Dems should not expect LegCo to run normally; neither can the lawmakers realise their governing blueprints they have for Hong Kong. Rather, candidates will be able to compete against one another with visions of a liberated Hong Kong through popular vote. Bringing this point up has nothing to do with undermining the common goal of reaching a majority in LegCo, but rather channels the battle of LegCo to positive use upon the rule of law’s death and a “constitutional crisis” ahead. Knowing that Hongkongers have nothing to fall back on, all Pan-Dems should not miss the only way to the realization of “35+”.
Thus, be they partisans, nonpartisans, incumbent politicians, amateur politicians, or the civil society as a whole – if we stay in the political discourse of 2016 and continue to perpetuate old stereotypes, that is to deal with the divisions on the pan-democratic camp by favouring the most “local” faction; to consider only resource allocation and self-aggrandizement as the purpose of a LegCo campaign; to ignore how potential lawmakers are fitted to what specific roles; to turn a blind eye to the journey of resistance since last summer (extending indefinitely into the future)—They would lead as astray and cost us lose a precious opportunity for change by winning a 35+ majority.
The extent to which the pan-democrats can stay united in light of the political atmosphere since last summer is another problem that our side must to address. Before the watershed moment of 12th June 2019, many democratic delegates were trapped in the mentality of needing to “preserve people’s livelihood”, “be content of what we have accomplished”, and other strategies that favours stability. As the government refuses to heed to the five demands, whether the democrats, especially those in the functional constituencies, have the political will to go all-in is the real difficult question that confronts us in the upcoming LegCo election.
All in all, if “35+” cannot be realised, it is unsurprising to see LegCo being more heavily suppressed in the next 4 years; even if "35+" is achieved, it is questionable whether the pan-democrats are able to weather multiple attacks, verbal or physical, from the regime (judging from its power in the last four years) and utilise the international Laam-chaau strategy against the displacement of LegCo. Adhering to the motto of “we fight on, each in his own way”, I can only hope that Hongkongers in elections, street confrontations and international front can reconcile with each other, so that we may collectively compel the government to yield to our demands in the next six months. It is only by reaching a resolution before a real constitutional crisis that we can combat the institutional violence of the regime and not be devoured by it.
https://hkcolumn.blogspot.com/2020/04/joshua-wong-after-winning-majority-in.html?fbclid=IwAR216gf53pG_j9JOpDfr2GItvjLfrFSekKTPzoEs3-s9KBqvPEwz865P8vw
同時也有8部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過1萬的網紅Gaston庞加斯顿,也在其Youtube影片中提到,今天来送上多语言翻唱合集【第三集:KPOP热门曲目】 提醒大件事!明天我要首发个人单曲啦!!!请继续留守我的频道吧!明天见! 0:05【Dont Fight The Feeling】中文版 0:39【CALL ME BABY】 1:21【前夜】 1:59【咆哮】 2:24【Kick It】 2:...
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kick it中文 在 Ken's Portable Classroom Facebook 的精選貼文
《片語筆記可以這樣做 I》
有些片語有很多意思,建議在背的時候,不要把所有的中文意思都寫在旁邊,因為這並不能幫助你記憶。藉由上下文或例句來理解,才可以透過情境,更了解片語的用法。片語筆記可以這麼做,將同義單字寫在旁邊,在不透過中文的情況下,以便立即了解片語意思。
舉凡take off 此片語,就有好多意思,它有「脫去」、「起飛」、「休假」、「離開」、「取消」、「模仿」...等意思,強烈建議學員,還是要藉由閱讀的輔助,才能夠有效記得片語,以方便日後運用在日常對話中。
.pass on (skip) 略過
.fall in with (accept) 同意;接受(提議)
.pick up (answer) 接(電話)
.kick back (relax) 放鬆
.take off (depart) 離開
.be with (agree) 同意
.get over (overcome) 克服
.break it off (end a relationship) 終止關係
.come at (try) 向...衝去(嘗試)
.drift off (fall asleep) 漸漸入睡
.cut out (remove) 去除
.get out (escape) 逃出
.carry on (maintain) 繼續
.come up (rise) 升起
.get down on (criticize) 對...產生厭惡(批評)
#英文筆記
kick it中文 在 Ken's Portable Classroom Facebook 的最佳解答
《片語筆記可以這樣做 I》
有些片語有很多意思,建議在背的時候,不要把所有的中文意思都寫在旁邊,因為這並不能幫助你記憶。藉由上下文或例句來理解,才可以透過情境,更了解片語的用法。片語筆記可以這麼做,將同義單字寫在旁邊,在不透過中文的情況下,以便立即了解片語意思。
舉凡take off 此片語,就有好多意思,它有「脫去」、「起飛」、「休假」、「離開」、「取消」、「模仿」...等意思,強烈建議學員,還是要藉由閱讀的輔助,才能夠有效記得片語,以方便日後運用在日常對話中。
.pass on (skip) 略過
.fall in with (accept) 同意;接受(提議)
.pick up (answer) 接(電話)
.kick back (relax) 放鬆
.take off (depart) 離開
.be with (agree) 同意
.get over (overcome) 克服
.break it off (end a relationship) 終止關係
.come at (try) 向...衝去(嘗試)
.drift off (fall asleep) 漸漸入睡
.cut out (remove) 去除
.get out (escape) 逃出
.carry on (maintain) 繼續
.come up (rise) 升起
.get down on (criticize) 對...產生厭惡(批評)
#英文筆記
kick it中文 在 Gaston庞加斯顿 Youtube 的精選貼文
今天来送上多语言翻唱合集【第三集:KPOP热门曲目】
提醒大件事!明天我要首发个人单曲啦!!!请继续留守我的频道吧!明天见!
0:05【Dont Fight The Feeling】中文版
0:39【CALL ME BABY】
1:21【前夜】
1:59【咆哮】
2:24【Kick It】
2:55【Hot Sauce】
3:28【Rose】
3:57【On The Ground】
4:24【Mafia In The Morning】中文版
5:10【Next Level】中文版
5:45【Blood Sweat Tear】
6:13【Butter】
6:35【Advice】
7:02【神秘的Girl】
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kick it中文 在 AnJet Cat Youtube 的精選貼文
中文歌詞 (根據官方原譯校正):
來吧, 我的一眾男孩女孩們
我們將一同闖蕩虛空
別過母親的雙手, 踏上旅程
我們向著旭日啟航
直至船歸遠方
我們將一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於深處的姊妹們呀
我們正航向無風之地
是呀, 我們都將被拉入深淵
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於寒凜深處
我們的航船
只屬強悍與敏捷之士
我們速速卸貨並繼續路途
要為了生計而奔馳
否則下場生不如死
當你沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於深處的姊妹們呀
我們正航向無風之地
是呀, 我們都將被拉入深淵
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於寒凜深處
據說有一位高高在上的男人
他的眼神彷若惡魔化身
還擁有著一隻黃金手
他能傷害你, 亦能擁抱你
他能踢開你, 也能撫慰你
當你沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於深處的姊妹們呀
我們正航向無風之地
是呀, 我們都將被拉入深淵
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於寒凜深處
噢, 如此聰慧真誠的姊妹們呀
當我氣數將盡之時
妳是否會讓我躺在 Granum冠幣堆上
好讓我沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於深處的姊妹們呀
我們正航向無風之地
是呀, 我們都將被拉入深淵
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於深處的姊妹們呀
我們正航向無風之地
是呀, 我們都將被拉入深淵
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
一同沉睡於寒凜深處
沉睡於寒凜深處
英文歌詞:
So it's into the Void
Now me girls and me boys
From Mother's hands we go
We'll be be sailing to the sun
Till the voyage is done
Then we'll be sleeping in the cold below
Sisters! Below, below
We're going where the winds don't blow
Yes we're all bound down
To the deep and we'll be
Sleeping in the cold below, below
Sleeping in the cold below
Our sailing ship
Is for the hard and the quick
We roll our load and go
There's a living to be made
Or there's Hell to pay
When you're sleeping in the cold below
Sisters! Below, below
We're going where the winds don't blow
Yes we're all bound down
To the deep and we'll be
Sleeping in the cold below, below
Sleeping in the cold below
There's a man on high
With the Devil in his eye
And a golden hand, I'm told
It can hurt you, it can hold you
He can kick you or console you
When you're sleeping in the cold below
Sisters! Below, below
We're going where the winds don't blow
Yes we're all bound down
To the deep and we'll be
Sleeping in the cold below, below
Sleeping in the cold below
Oh Sisters you
So wise and true
When it's my time to go
Won't you lay me down
Under Granum Crowns
And I'll be sleeping in the cold below
Sisters! Below, below
We're going where the winds don't blow
Yes we're all bound down
To the deep and we'll be
Sleeping in the cold below, below
Sleeping in the cold below
Today we sail
On the Solar Rail
For there's much we just don't know
So farewell with a kiss
Then it's fast for the mist
Till we're sleeping in the cold below
詞/曲: Keith Power, Alan Doyle, Digital Extremes
歌手: Damhnait Doyle
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kick it中文 在 CH Music Channel Youtube 的最讚貼文
《Walpurgis》
地球儀 with Vaundy / Chikyugi
作詞 / Lyricist:Vaundy
作曲 / Composer:Vaundy
編曲 / Arranger:Vaundy
歌 / Singer:Aimer
翻譯:澄野(CH Music Channel)
意譯:CH(CH Music Channel)
English Translation: Official translation
背景 / Background - 真夜中の青と銀の月 - クメキ:
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Please support the original creator.
すべての権利は正当な所有者/作成者に帰属します。あなたがこの音楽(または画像)の作成者で、この動画に使用されたくない場合はメッセージまたはこのYoutubeチャンネルの概要のメールアドレスにご連絡ください。私はすぐに削除します。
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If you like my videos, please click like and subscribe! Thx :)
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中文翻譯 / Chinese Translation :
https://home.gamer.com.tw/creationDetail.php?sn=5101141
英文翻譯 / English Translation :
From the official channel
日文歌詞 / Japanese Lyrics :
愛に飢えてる 僕たち何度も
感情的に慰めあっている
単純明快で 端的繊細な
こんな夜に流されあっている
揺られちまえよ
くっだらない夜に乗ってさ
ねぇ Ah Ah Ah Ah
どうしょうなんてmotion
思い出すような夜に名前をつけて
どうしょうなんてmotion
狂いだしそうな夜に踊って見せてよ
愛に満ちていく 僕たち今日もまた
感情的に思いを寄せあっている
どっか置いてきた 愛とかなんとかも
こんな夜じゃ流されちまっている
忘れちまえよ
くっだらない夜に踊ってさ
ねぇ Ah Ah Ah Ah
どうしょうなんてmotion
思い出すような夜に名前をつけて
どうしょうなんてmotion
狂いだしそうな夜に踊って見せてよ
情けない夢を握っていたいの
また溜まっていく Ah Ah Ah Ah
どうしょうなんてmotion
思い出すような夜に名前をつけて
どうしょうなんてmotion
狂いだしそうな夜に踊って見せてよ
回る未来の地図を蹴り飛ばして 笑っていようぜ
君と描いた地図を手に取って 笑っていたいね
中文歌詞 / Chinese Lyrics :
渴求著愛的我們,曾幾度地——
將彼此作為感情的慰藉
彼此單純輕鬆地、鮮明優柔地
於這片夜空下綻放自我
縱身搖擺吧
在這無趣的夜裡隨波逐流
來吧 Ah Ah Ah Ah
與其躊躇半天不如動起身吧!
如憶起般地一時興起,為這夜晚下個名
別再煩惱了,走吧!
於今宵放肆的夜中翩翩起舞吧!
沉浸在愛之中,我們至今仍——
反覆交雜彼此的情感與思念
將落在某處的,愛與其他瑣碎點滴
任其在這夜裡肆意隨波水蕩漾
把煩惱忘得一乾二淨吧
只請你記得,在這無趣的夜裡起舞
來吧 Ah Ah Ah Ah
別再煩惱了,來吧!
如憶起般地隨意,為今夜起個名
與其徘徊不前不如起身前進吧!
於無拘無束的夜裡跳支舞吧!
哪怕再怎麼不切實際,仍想緊握住手中的夢想
願其終有成真的一天 Ah Ah Ah Ah
與其躊躇半天不如動起身吧!
如憶起般地一時興起,為這夜晚下個名
別再煩惱了,走吧!
於今宵放肆的夜中翩翩起舞吧!
一腳踢開那,繞著既定未來旋轉的地圖,一起歡笑吧
我只想緊握住,與你一同描繪的地圖,在那未來彼此一同歡笑
英文歌詞 / English Lyrics :
Hungry for love Time and time again
We comfort each other emotionally
Simple and clear Straightforward and subtle
We are carried away with each other on a night like this
Why don’t we let ourselves tossed
On this hell of a night?
Hey Ah Ah Ah Ah
What can I do for this motion?
Put a name to a memorable night
What can I do for this motion?
Let me see you dance to the night that’s driving you crazy
Gradually filled with love Today once again
We huddle against each other’s emotions
We’ve left behind somewhere Love and then some
That must have been carried away on a night like this
Why don’t we forget about it
Dancing to this hell of a night?
Hey Ah Ah Ah Ah
What can I do for this motion?
Put a name to a memorable night
What can I do for this motion?
Let me see you dance to the night that’s driving you crazy
I want to keep on holding to this pathetic dream
Accumulating again Ah Ah Ah Ah
What can I do for this motion?
Put a name to a memorable night
What can I do for this motion?
Let me see you dance to the night that’s driving you crazy
Why don’t we kick away the rolling map of the future
And keep on smiling?
With a map we drew together in our hands
I want to keep on smiling with you
![post-title](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/VPAMS8bu0BU/hqdefault.jpg)
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