I have recently perused Nicholas Kristof’s NYT piece “China’s Man in Washington, Named Trump”(https://nyti.ms/3h2JXh8). One paragraph in particular caught my attention: “A joke in China suggests that Trump’s Chinese name is Chuan Jianguo, or “Build-the-Country Trump.” That’s because Build-the-Country is a common revolutionary name among Communist patriots, and it’s mockingly suggested that Trump’s misrule of the United States is actually bolstering Xi’s regime.”
Kristoff also avows that since Trump’s ascension to presidency, the American nation became highly polarized. This is reflected in the current administration’s policies on climate change, foreign relations with established U.S. allies, and COVID-19 prevention, all of which are rather ineffective. It also seems like Mr. Trump and his team diverged from the traditional priorities, including promoting free trade, human rights, and other quintessentially American values. As described thoroughly by John Bolton, all these factors contributed to the declining standing of the U.S. in global politics.
What is more, many people fall prey to CCP’s propaganda and its interpretations of Trump’s actions, which only enhances China’s reputation.
But that might not exactly be the case.
The CCP apparently failed to utilize the window of opportunity created by the ineptness of the Trump administration, as China could have grown to the position of a leader by filling in the void left by the U.S.
During the 2016 APEC Ministerial Meeting in Lima, Peru, Xi Jinping and his team actively supported the plans to establish the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific, or FTAAP. In contrast, the United States withdrew its signature from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Coupled with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), this move bolstered China’s capacity to influence global investments and trade, high-tech mergers and acquisitions, and, overall, expand its geostrategic influence on the entire globe.
At the same time, various propaganda films about great power competition, military industry, and science and technology surged all at once, and gained remarkable following around the world.
All this provided a window of opportunity for the CCP to slowly change its course. Around the same time, the distrust for POTUS among U.S. allies’ reached its apex. According to polls conducted by the Pew Research Center, the distrust for the U.S. president in the U.K. reached 75%, 72% in Japan, 70% in Australia, and stunning 86% in France.
Had the C.C.P,. begun to open up at that time, or at least resumed the governance style of the Hu-Wen administration, it could have reaped the benefits of promoting liberalism where the U.S. failed to deliver. It was the time for Beijing to gradually enhance freedom of speech domestically, pursue sustainable infrastructural projects, gradually reform unfair barriers to trade, transform its S.O.E.s, strengthen protections for private ownership, and vitalize its start-ups and enterprises.
Moreover, were China to cease the genocide in East Turkestan and refrain from cracking down on Hong Kong's semi-autonomy, it would have greatly enhanced its global international image. Additionally, if paired with slow but steady reforms, Beijing’s respect for sovereignty of its peoples would have attracted a large amount of foreign investment, which in turn would have continued to buttress the country’s growth.
It is China prerogative to remain idle.
It might still be possible for Chinese “Dream” to come true.
Yet, a historic window of opportunity is now closed.
Xi assumed the tools of proscribing and stalling, which are completely antithetical to the aforementioned window of opportunity.
Today, China is more authoritarian, less flexible, and fully deprived of horizontal accountability. Its reliance on wolf warrior diplomacy backfired: for example, the Swedish parliament sought to expel the Chinese ambassador to Stockholm. Also, Prague, the capital of Czechia, terminated its sister-city agreement with Shanghai and instead signed a new one with Taipei. Last but not least, we ought not to forget about the recent fiasco in the relations with the United States who ordered the shutdown of China’s consulate in Houston. All of this took its toll on China’s reputation.
Its international standing and inability to replace the U.S. as the major global power are not the only issues China is currently facing.
As it experiences multiple domestic and international shocks, China struggles to combat the COVID-19 pandemic and tame the disastrous floods of Yangtze River. The swarm of locusts of biblical proportions is also crippling Beijing’s institutional capacity and may soon lead to food shortages. In fact, the precarity of food supply further diminishes the level of trust for Chinese authorities.
In 2019, the Pew Research Center conducted a public opinion survey to examine the international views of China. In the U.S., Argentina, the U.K., Canada, Germany, and Ukraine, only about 30% of respondents claim a favorable view of China.
As the COVID-19 pandemic rages in the U.S., as many as 73% of U.S. respondents view China unfavorably.
Recently, the C.C.P. is losing its focus by continuously shifting targets. In fact, I believe there is no need for the C.C.P.to rely on nationalistic appeals, since in this new century values, business relations, and fair competition are all far more important than greater than delusive blood ties.
China lies only 130 kilometers away from us. Of course, we welcome dialogue and seek to avoid misjudgments. But we also distinguish between the C.C.P. and China. While we do welcome dialogue, but we will not be coerced to talk under unjust preconditions or in fear.
The only fair prerequisites are those of reciprocity, mutual respect as well as fairness and openness with respect for the rule of law.
Source: Pew Research Center
最近看到紐約時報中文版的一篇文章
<美國的川普，中國的「川建國」>，其中一小段是這樣的
「在中國，人們戲稱川普的中文名字是川建國。那是因為建國是共產黨愛國者中一個普遍的革命人名。它在諷刺地暗示川普對美國的治理不當實際上是在鞏固習近平的政權。」
裡面也提到，川普在任的幾年，國家更分裂，對於氣候變遷，傳統美國盟友，乃至於疫情處理等都相當拙劣，對於美國傳統的自由貿易、人權等價值也基本上都沒有太大興趣。這些方針，導致美國在世界的評價降低，波頓的新書也多有描述。
除此之外，許多不幸相信中共宣傳，又或者是中共圈養的小粉紅，特別故意愛宣傳川普增強中國的威望。
但這不是真的。
中共完全沒有掌握美國做得不夠好的地方，去增強其在世界的領導力。
在2016年時，秘魯的亞太峰會舉行期間，習近平政權爭取（RCEP）及亞太自由貿易區（FTAAP）談判；對比2017年初，美國剛宣布退出ＴＰＰ，加上中國到「一帶一路」和亞洲基礎設施投資銀行，中國當時在世界全面發揮投資貿易、高科技併購還有其地緣戰略的影響力。
也是那個時候，各種的大國崛起、大國軍工、大國科技的宣傳影片此起彼落，似乎正準備要在世界舞台發光發熱。
這曾經是中共慢慢轉向的一個機會之窗。彼時（2017)美國盟友對美國總統的不信任度達到歷史新高，根據皮尤研究中心的資訊，英國對於美國總統的不信任度達到75%、日本72% 澳洲70% 法國更高達86%
如果那時中共開始有限度的改革，對內放寬言論自由，或者至少維持在胡溫當時的水中，對外追求有責任的基礎建設，逐步緩慢減低不公平的貿易壁壘，對於國有企業改革，增強私營企業、新創企業的活力。
停止對新疆迫害，不干預香港自治，不僅國際形象會大幅改善，哪怕是緩慢但是穩健的改革，也會讓大量吸引外資，讓中國的活力持續前進。
哪怕是什麼都不做也好
那或許有這麽一點可能性，中國「夢」是可以前行的
但是歷史機緣的大門已經關上。
習、禁、停、放棄了這個機會之窗，徹底的走向相反的方向。
更專制、更沒有彈性，更沒有任何制衡的力量。各種戰狼外交，讓瑞典議員提案驅逐中國大使，捷克布拉格市長與台北簽訂姊妹是，就解散上海與該市關係、被美國關閉領事館、各種讓中國形象低下的事情，中共都沒有少做。
中共不但完全沒有辦法取代美國，在多重國內外的衝擊之下，又是瘟疫，又是超大水患，緊接著蝗害，還有進來的糧食不足問題，正在面臨巨大的瓶頸。
而糧食的命脈，卻恰恰又在對他最不信任，對中共價值最反對的國家聯盟
根據皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center2019調查各國對中國的喜好度，美國、阿根廷、英國、加拿大、德國、烏克蘭等，對於中國的喜好度都在30%上下
而2020疫情後美國對於中國的不信任度，更高達73%。
最近中共在演習，又要玩轉移目標的手段，對於中共，其實不必再有民族主義的同情，因為新的世紀，價值、商業模式、公平競爭的制度大於血緣幻想。
中國離我們只有130公里的距離，我們當然歡迎對話，避免誤判。但我們同時也區分中共與中國，歡迎對話，但不在前提、條件、恐懼之下對話。
如果真的要有前提，那就是對等、尊重，還有公平公開法治的方式會晤。
資料來源：皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center
（美國著名的民調機構和智庫機構，https://www.pewresearch.org/）
prey評價 在 [心得] Prey 2017 推坑- 看板Steam - 批踢踢實業坊 的推薦與評價
Prey 推坑心得
首先推薦這篇
https://necromanov.wordpress.com/tag/prey/
先說個人結論: Prey 2017(X) System shock 2017(O)如果有對到電波的話，就會是準神
作。對到何種電波，大概就是所謂Immersive sim
可以和以下遊戲做個橫向比較
-Bioshock一代:
Bioshock關鍵劇情演出強於Prey，如果期待看到好的劇情演出Prey不適合你。但Prey主線
劇情雖是老梗，但仍舊有梗，只是呈現方式不佳
好的支線都藏在中後期，而且得自己去找，所以常會錯過。如果期待動畫做好給你看劇情
的可能會失望
Bioshock一代除了少數關卡，所有關卡都是連續性的，而且回到之前關卡可以刷怪。當神
功大成時，拿著鈑手到處隱形敲人我會騙你嗎?
如果喜歡這種連續性的關卡，Prey 中的Talo I Station是我看過最強的連續關卡，而且
在前中期就全部開放給你探索。
但探索的順序很影響玩遊戲的感受，如果你乖乖衝主線，你會覺得自己很弱又很慌亂，因
為會在過程中一直觸發支線。
但如果你喜歡壓主線不做，然後所有能去的地方都先去，支線做好做滿，資源收集滿滿，
中後期在衝主線時就能體會道關卡設計之巧妙
-Deus Ex HR:最愛Deus Ex HR的嘴砲戰和潛行放倒所有人，Prey兩個都沒有。基本上Prey
不是潛行遊戲，他的潛行比較類似柏德之門的潛行，給你第一擊加傷害用的
但技能樹精神有點像，Deus Ex是給你多種選擇(戰、嘴、盜)，Prey是給你多種探索和戰
鬥方式
另外之前看到一篇玩Prey五小時心得
要恐怖不恐怖
要潛行不潛行
要射擊不射擊
要劇情不劇情
要爽度沒爽度
-恐怖
如果是期待像Dead space，那也會失望。因為Dead space是線性遊戲，難度適中，不去刻
意累積資源應該也能順利完成並享受遊戲
但Prey如果不撿垃圾就會活得像垃圾，不小心走到所謂較後期區域就是秒殺，這不就是柏
德之門沒有準備遇到龍和巫妖的狀況嗎?
Dead space可不會有這種狀態，一代小槍練好練滿，二代減速加肉搏，口袋子彈滿滿我會
騙你嗎
-潛行
拿Dishonored及Deus Ex HR這兩個潛行神作來說，潛行玩家最大優勢及成就感就是神奇走
位後幾乎不花資源放倒敵人，這個Prey根本沒有
但Dishonored和Deus Ex HR中神奇關卡設計Prey是有的，只是體現在其他方面。
如果你喜歡放倒所有人後再去巡邏整個地圖順便讚嘆關卡設計的話，這個Prey有。把同一
區的怪殺光後不會重生，然後你就可以去讚嘆設計師了
-射擊及爽度
Doom，根本不像，本作主角神功大成後大概跟Doom主角初始狀態差不多。要射擊快感的
其實有，當你武器點滿，開子彈時間(誤)。但每次爽完後不禁會想又要缺子彈了
-劇情
其實應該分為劇本和呈現，Prey的劇情大致還OK，開頭的呈現也很棒。
但遊戲過程前期常會無頭緒及中後期慌亂又有很多未完成支線(如果前期沒掃完的話)，常
會讓人覺得手忙腳亂
結局有點草草結束，但是問題是呈現而非劇情本身。劇情本身還算是好的老梗
結論:在做好心理準備後對某些人來說會是神作
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