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yiuchung 在 李怡 Facebook 的最讚貼文
It is too late to “chicken out” now (Lee Yee)
Pro-establishment camp keeps spreading news about postponement of the Legislative Council (LegCo) elections. Following Tam Yiuchung, Tong Kawah said the government could put the elections on hold for 14 days as many times as necessary. Tanya Chan pointed out that the government seems to intend extending the current LegCo session in view of the absence of gazetted announcement of when it will end.
Communist China and Hong Kong originally planned to threaten Hong Kong people with the National Security Law, then browbeat candidates into signing a confirmation in support of the law that is to be used as evidence to disqualify (DQ) the opposition faction from the elections. By doing so, they are to get the elections in the bag. However, to everyone’s surprise, the National Security Law has stirred up worldwide backlash, putting China under siege. Meanwhile, Hong Kong have not overawed, as evidenced by their will to resist demonstrated in the primary elections of pro-democracy camp, in which a large number of young pro-resistance hopefuls were elected. So long as the Carrie Lam regime massively disqualifies candidates, it will certainly give rise to an even fiercer global backlash. Providing that the anti-China measures escalate, neither will China be able to stay authoritative in front of its compatriots by showing the white feather, nor will it be courageous enough to wage a head-to-head battle.
It seems that the DQ strategy has been relinquished. Swift and decisive enforcement of the National Security Law was seen merely on the first day of its implementation. Since then, it has rarely been cited for law enforcement. Even though Communist China and Hong Kong stubbornly refuses to admit a fault, they are inarguably aware of having been a bit “cheeky”. Ditching the DQ strategy, they may suffer a crushing defeat in the elections. What should they do now? To counterplot, the epidemic could be a convenient pretext for putting off the elections.
Nonetheless, while the plight in which China is under siege by the world has gotten in shape, it is too late to “chicken out” . On July 21, Pompeo met with Nathan Law, an activist from Hong Kong. Law said to him that disqualifying candidates from elections amounts to a severe challenge to the values of democracy, calling on the international community to respond to it with a tough stance. So, even if the elections are put off, the U.S.’s sanctions will not be delayed.
On the same day, a fire outbreak broke the news to the world that the U.S. ordered closure of the Consulate General of the People's Republic of China(PRC) in Houston. The U.S. State Department said: The consulate was directed to close in order to protect American intellectual property and Americans' private information. China has been engaging in espionage and infiltration for decades, and in recent years, it has gone deeper and more extensive.
U.S. senator Marco Rubio said the Consulate General of the PRC in Houston is not a diplomatic unit , but the central point of China’s enormous operation network of espionage and infiltration, which should have been closed. Holding a concurrent post of the Deputy Chairman of the U.S. Senate Intelligence Committee, Rubio has access to the classified information of the U.S. Congress.
Gordon G. Chang, a prominent American academic, said the U.S. should direct the Consulate General of the PRC in New York to close as well for it is the core operation center of the CCP in eastern America.
Trump said yesterday there is a possibility that other consulates of China are ordered to close as well.
China indicated that “necessary reactions would be made”. According to Reuters, China is considering closing the Consulate General of the U.S. in Wuhan for retaliation. Global Times Editor in Chief Hu Xijin said “80%” of the Reuters’ coverage is “wrong”, being of the opinion that Beijing would highly likely adopt a tit-for-tat strategy to close the Consulate General of the United States in Hong Kong, which is as equally important as the one in Beijing, or expel half of the personnel from Hong Kong.
China had better ditch the rhetoric and do it fast. Although “80%” of Reuters’ coverage may be “wrong”, I’m afraid what is wrong is China dare not even close the Consulate General of the U.S. in Wuhan. The response yesterday of the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the PRC to closure of the Consulate General of the PRC in Houston was also empty rhetoric. And its reaction to the UK offering BNO holders right of abode in the UK was: “China will consider denying BNO passports as valid travel documents.” It is not only empty rhetoric, but literally moonshine.
Earlier on, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the PRC Wang Yi said in a forum held by China-U.S. Think Tanks that the Sino-U.S. relations should “activate and open conduits for dialogues” and “get back to the right track”. On July 21, being asked about the Sino-U.S. relations on CCTV, Cui Tiankai, the Ambassador of the PRC in the U.S., remarked: “It is necessary to activate and open conduits for dialogues. Now that there isn’t even a conversation, it should be deemed abnormal”. It has suggested that China craves reopening a dialogue with the U.S.. However, Trump openly said he did not want to talk to Xi Jinping. The U.S. has already turned a deaf ear to China.
The Hong Kong version of National Security Law certainly plays a major role in contributing to the current predicament. The law has shown to the international community China would not live up to any promise. When the basic trust is gone, the basis for a dialogue is gone. Action is way more down-to-earth than rhetoric!
yiuchung 在 李怡 Facebook 的最佳貼文
Time for a decisive battle (Lee Yee)
I wrote yesterday that “when the number of disqualified candidates reaches the maximum, the international community would come forth”. My friend reckons this a “new strategy”. Instead of a strategy, it is, I would say, the last option left by the National Security Law. Some agree, while others do not. A few raise questions or doubts. Here are my thoughts.
相關新聞:Paradoxical theory of Hong Kong organising U.S. riots (Lee Yee)
The US is leading the fight, with Japan coordinating with the foreign ministers of seven countries, the European Union claiming to indict China in the International Court of Justice in Hague, and the civilized world reacting way more intensely to the NSL than to the violation of human rights in Xinjiang concentration camp. Mike Pompeo’s comments, like “rogue behaviour” and “a choice between freedom and tyranny”, are harsh enough. All of this begs the question of what the US and the West are waiting for. With the NSL draft already released, why did Pompeo ask people to wait and see the results of the Legislative Council (LegCo) Election in September?
Although the NSL is disapproved by most of the civilized countries, both verbal censure and actual sanctions hinge on the LegCo Election in September - “an essential indicator”. But Why?
相關新聞:American violence v.s. Hong Kong violence (Lee Yee)
Pompeo has made it clear that if the CCP makes Hong Kong the same as Shanghai or Shen Zhen in the LegCo Election, the US will take Hong Kong as just another city in China, which means revoking all special treatment Hong Kong has been enjoying. Hong Kongers will be apparently victimized with a bitterly crumbling economy, even though Pompeo has not exactly said so.
Are Hong Kongers willing to be on the receiving end of it all? If Hong Kong’s pro-democracy camp shows acceptance of the NSL at the nomination stage of the LegCo Election, and gets elected with considerable votes, then the message delivered to the US would be that Hong Kongers are prepared to surrender to tyranny. To this end, the US will stop short of being meddlesome while deploying all defensive moves against Hong Kong like what it has been doing against China.
However, if Hong Kongers take to the streets as fiercely as what they did in the anti-extradition protests last year, it will go without saying that these freedom fighters are willing to stand at the frontline of global defence against tyranny.
The referendum on NSL walkout held last Saturday, which was not well publicized and prepared, has projected a wrong message to the international community: not many people are up in arms over the NSL. In light of this, the message conveyed to the world by the LegCo Election is pivotal.
The abovementioned pertain to the external situation. Internally, I have come across many online comments made by those who have no confidence in the pan-democracy camp. They believe there must be some candidates from the pan-democracy camp who will approve of the NSL in a bid to get qualified for the election, and urge the public to vote for them for collective interests. Some say that the incumbent legislators did not even dare to object to the National Anthem Law, not to mention saying no to the NSL. They suspect that the pan-democracy camp would sign an election agreement in which supporting the NSL is part of the deal, or the candidates would answer yes when asked by returning officers whether they side with the NSL, in order to take a seat in the LegCo.
Soon comes the primary election for the pro-democracy camp, and their real stance will be revealed in the debates.
The predicament Hong Kong is facing looks grim. The pan-democracy camp might not succumb to the NSL for being qualified for the election. But in case they do, I hope all the young people who care about the future of Hong Kong enroll in the election at their discretion, regardless of the primary election results, prescriptions or ethics. The more candidates running for seats of the LegCo, the voice are more widely spread. Imagine the picture when hundreds of candidates are disqualified. How can the US stand by?
If the Chinese Communist Party decides to step back for a while, and selectively disqualify a few youngsters, will too many candidates on the list dilute the votes and as a result only few are elected? Don’t worry. If that happens, some candidates from the pro-democracy camp will have to drop out in an attempt to secure enough votes for the seats. In election forums, the pro-establishment camp is bound to lose in the debates about the NSL. That being said, anyone who blatantly disapproves of the NSL is almost certainly to be disqualified.
Tam Yiuchung has mentioned that candidates must sign an agreement to show support for the Basic Law, and pledge loyalty to Hong Kong SAR. It is harmless to do so with these two terms, yet in no circumstances should they sign an agreement to show support for the NSL for the reason that so many clauses in the NSL violate the Basic Law. Their refusal should be made public so that the whole world knows how many LegCo candidates are disqualified after saying no to the NSL.
The NSL for Hong Kong has already been deplored by all civilized countries. The focus should be put on the revolt against the NSL in this LegCo Election. Other slogans like “independence of Hong Kong”, “self-determination”, “five demands”, and “liberate Hong Kong”, etc. should give way to avoid losing focus. The US and the western civilization only focus on the NSL for Hong Kong. The LegCo election is a decisive battle that is worth a fight.
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